Match Info

Serie A - Round 20

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi (Verona)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Verona		Lazio

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.8	2.3	Watch
	3.7	2.92	2.28	Watch
	3.55	2.91	2.37	Watch
	3.6	2.75	2.25
	4.05	2.88	2.29
	3.5	2.9	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.36)	2.86 ↓ (3.06)	2.31 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Verona
25.7%

Draw
33.2%

Lazio
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

31%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

30.3%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.5%	60.6%	31%

Verona - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Verona will win (votes: 6 - 8.6%). Lazio will win (votes: 22 - 31.4%). It will Tie (votes: 42 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 48.5% – 71.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 12 - 41.4%). Tie (votes: 17 - 58.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Verona (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Lazio (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Lazio (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Verona (votes: 2 - 6.1%). Lazio (votes: 14 - 42.4%). Tie (votes: 17 - 51.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montipo L. (C) 15. Nelsson V. 37. Bella-Kotchap A. 6. Valentini N. 12. Bradaric D. 36. Niasse C. 63. Gagliardini R. 24. Bernede A. 3. Frese M. 17. Giovane 16. Orban G.	94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 5. Vecino M. 32. Cataldi D. (C) 24. Taylor K. 18. Isaksen G. 14. Noslin T. 22. Cancellieri M.
Substitutes
73. Al Musrati 70. Cham F. 23. Ebosse E. 21. Harroui A. 20. Kastanos G. 25. Mosquera D. 5. Nunez U. 2. Oyegoke D. 34. Perilli S. (G) 9. Sarr A. 8. Serdar S. 19. Slotsager T. 94. Toniolo G. (G)	21. Belahyane R. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 23. Hysaj E. 29. Lazzari M. 35. Mandas C. (G) 9. Pedro 25. Provstgaard O. 20. Ratkov P. 6. Rovella N. 17. Tavares N.
Coaches
Zanetti P.	Sarri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Bella-Kotchap A. 🟨,
18', Cancellieri M. 🟨,
25', Valentini N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Pellegrini Lu. ↓, Lazzari M. ↑,
55', Noslin T. ↓, Ratkov P. ↑,
68', Orban G. ↓, Sarr A. ↑,
68', Giovane ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
69', Cataldi D. ↓, Rovella N. ↑,
70', Isaksen G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
76', Gagliardini R. ↓, Serdar S. ↑,
76', Bella-Kotchap A. ↓, Nunez U. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Nelsson V. (Own goal),
88', Niasse C. ↓, Al Musrati ↑,
90+2', Taylor K. ↓, Belahyane R. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verona won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Verona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lazio could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Verona: Belghali R. (International duty) Suslov T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lazio: Basic T. (Injury) Dele-Bashiru F. (International duty) Dia B. (International duty) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Patric (Calf Injury) Zaccagni M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Verona: Akpa Akpro J. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Verona won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:43. (average 1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Verona won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1:2).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Lazio: 0.93%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
07.01.26	Napoli - Verona	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Verona - Torino	0:3 ✺
28.12.25	Milan - Verona	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Fiorentina - Verona	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Verona - Atalanta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 TLLWW
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
07.01.26	Lazio - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Lazio - Napoli	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Udinese - Lazio	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Lazio - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Parma - Lazio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
31.08.25	Lazio - Verona	4:0
19.01.25	Verona - Lazio	0:3
16.09.24	Lazio - Verona	2:1
27.04.24	Lazio - Verona	1:0
09.12.23	Verona - Lazio	1:1
06.02.23	Verona - Lazio	1:1
11.09.22	Lazio - Verona	2:0

Upcoming Matches