Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 10

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Leça		Guarda Desportiva

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.33	6.5
	1.34	4	6.5
	1.37	4.3	6.8
	1.38	4.36	8.17
	1.36	4	8
	1.35	4.4	7.6
	1.38	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.51)	4.27 ↑ (3.79)	7.22 ↑ (5.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leça
66.3%

Draw
21.2%

Guarda Desportiva
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

24%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

15.7%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leça's performance.

Guarda Desportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-26.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leça that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda Desportiva than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarda Desportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Leça is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guarda Desportiva has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Leça is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.11.22	Lusitânia - Leça	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Leça - Gondomar	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Salgueiros 08 - Leça	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Leça - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Alpendorada - Leça	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL
- Guarda Desportiva
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.11.22	Guarda Desportiva - Castro Daire	0:3 ✺
20.11.22	Beira-Mar - Guarda Desportiva	3:1 ✺
13.11.22	Guarda Desportiva - Marítimo B	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Guarda Desportiva - Resende	0:3 ✺
30.10.22	Lusitânia - Guarda Desportiva	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leça FC
Portuguese Liga 3
10.10.26	Leça - Marco 09	✺

Leça - Guarda Desportiva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide