Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 25

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Le Mans		Châteauroux

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	5.75
	1.47	4.1	6.4
	1.47	4.25	7.06
	1.46	4.05	6.49	Watch
	1.44	3.8	6.5
	1.45	4.05	6.86	Watch
	1.47	4.1	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.55)	4.05 ↑ (3.88)	6.49 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
63.1%

Draw
22.7%

Châteauroux
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

23.9%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

23.5%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Le Mans - Châteauroux Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Châteauroux will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kocik N. (G) 8. Lauray A. 34. Matumona J. 17. Yohou S. (C) 5. Voyer H. 3. Burlet V. 33. Bernardeau G. 18. Lamgahez Z. 27. Rossignol M. 25. Gueye D. 9. Rabillard A.	40. Konate H. (G) 2. Pelletier J. A. 17. Magnora A. 28. Agounon B. (C) 24. Colella H. 21. Chraibi O. 8. Pierre L. 15. Umbdenstock I. 10. N'Goma F. 11. Versini G. 14. Clairicia M.
Substitutes
20. Diliwidi K. 24. Ouchen A. 6. Quarshie E. 12. Ribelin A. 15. Vula A.	16. Cognard B. (G) 9. Diallo M. 7. Mendy F. 19. Michel T. 29. Tormin T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Agounon B. (Own goal),
31', Lauray A. 🟨,
32', 🟨,
37', Rossignol M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Yohou S. ⚽,
58', Rossignol M. ↓, Quarshie E. ↑,
58', Matumona J. ↓, Ribelin A. ↑,
60', N'Goma F. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
60', Pierre L. ↓, Mendy F. ↑,
60', Colella H. ↓, Michel T. ↑,
69', Bernardeau G. ↓, Ouchen A. ↑,
69', Rabillard A. ↓, Vula A. ↑,
74', Clairicia M. ↓, Tormin T. ↑,
84', Gueye D. ↓, Diliwidi K. ↑,
84', Ouchen A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Mans won 3.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Châteauroux could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Le Mans is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Le Mans: Colas E. (Inactive) Nonnenmacher M. (Inactive) Vula A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Châteauroux: Dembele D. (Inactive) Diallo M. (Inactive) Duterte R. (Inactive) Gomes Y. (Injury) Kamissoko N. (Inactive) Pires V. (Inactive)

Our prediction for today's Le Mans to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Le Mans won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Le Mans won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
28.02.25	Le Mans - Quevilly	2:1 ✺
21.02.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Le Mans	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Le Mans - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Dijon - Le Mans	0:5 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.25	Le Mans - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWL
- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
07.03.25	Châteauroux - Concarneau	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Châteauroux - Rouen FC	1:0 ✺
14.02.25	Quevilly - Châteauroux	1:2 ✺
07.02.25	Châteauroux - Valenciennes	1:2 ✺
31.01.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Châteauroux	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
18.10.24	Châteauroux - Le Mans	1:2
12.04.24	Châteauroux - Le Mans	1:2
13.11.23	Le Mans - Châteauroux	1:1
14.04.23	Le Mans - Châteauroux	1:1
28.11.22	Châteauroux - Le Mans	0:3
21.01.22	Le Mans - Châteauroux	1:0
23.08.21	Châteauroux - Le Mans	2:1

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