Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 23

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Le Mans		Quevilly

	1	X	2
	1.89	3.15	3.75
	1.95	3.43	4.68
	1.83	3.31	4.17	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.75
	1.79	3.46	4.27	Watch
	1.89	3.15	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.04)	3.27 ↑ (3.16)	4.06 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
49%

Draw
28.3%

Quevilly
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.9%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

28.2%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Quevilly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Le Mans - Quevilly Predictions

Users Predictions: Le Mans will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kocik N. (G) 17. Yohou S. (C) 33. Bernardeau G. 3. Burlet V. 5. Voyer H. 24. Ouchen A. 27. Rossignol M. 21. Eyoum T. 12. Ribelin A. 9. Rabillard A. 25. Gueye D.	30. Bonnevie K. (G) 27. Pionnier T. 3. Soilihi A. (C) 20. Dede-Lhomme Y. 5. Cisse N. 18. Leborgne J. 29. Vandenbossche N. 21. Diallo N. 12. Jarju Y. 11. Tshipamba I. 23. Fortune Y.
Substitutes
20. Diliwidi K. 18. Lamgahez Z. 34. Matumona J. 26. Oggad B. 6. Quarshie E.	17. Adekalom N. 33. Capron B. 25. Chibani N. 10. Dali Amar B. 22. Pirringuel L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Tshipamba I. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Leborgne J. (Pen),
18', 1 - 1, Rossignol M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Vandenbossche N. 🟨,
56', Tshipamba I. 🟨,
71', Jarju Y. ↓, Dali Amar B. ↑,
72', Rabillard A. ↓, Diliwidi K. ↑,
72', Ouchen A. ↓, Quarshie E. ↑,
83', Yohou S. ↓, Oggad B. ↑,
84', Fortune Y. ↓, Capron B. ↑,
84', Eyoum T. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Diliwidi K. ⚽, Oggad B. (A),
90', Bernardeau G. ↓, Matumona J. ↑,
90', Gueye D. ↓, Lamgahez Z. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: ) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Mans won 2.

Le Mans is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Quevilly is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Le Mans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Le Mans will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Le Mans: Amir Z. (Inactive) Colas E. (Inactive) Nonnenmacher M. (Inactive) Ouchen A. (Inactive) Vula A. (Inactive)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Le Mans won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Le Mans won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
21.02.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Le Mans	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Le Mans - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Dijon - Le Mans	0:5 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.25	Le Mans - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 3
31.01.25	Le Mans - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLT
- US Quevilly
French Ligue 3
14.02.25	Quevilly - Châteauroux	1:2 ✺
07.02.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Quevilly	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Quevilly - Boulogne	0:1 ✺
24.01.25	Dijon - Quevilly	3:3 ✺
19.01.25	Quevilly - Villefranche	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
27.09.24	Quevilly - Le Mans	1:2
Club Friendly
20.07.22	Quevilly - Le Mans	2:1
17.07.21	Quevilly - Le Mans	0:1
French Ligue 3
15.01.21	Quevilly - Le Mans	2:0
28.08.20	Le Mans - Quevilly	2:2
07.03.19	Quevilly - Le Mans	1:1
27.09.18	Le Mans - Quevilly	2:0

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