Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 23

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)


	Le Mans		GOAL FC

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	1.95	3.3	3.75	Watch
	1.98	3.15	3.69
	1.91	3.4	3.5
	1.98	3.22	3.8	Watch
	1.97	3.15	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.66)	3.22 ↓ (3.4)	3.67 ↓ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
46.7%

Draw
28.4%

GOAL FC
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.5%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

25.2%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Le Mans's form might have worsened.

GOAL FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GOAL FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Le Mans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GOAL FC than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GOAL FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Le Mans - GOAL FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kocik N. (G) 25. Gueye D. 24. Lehoux P. 22. Njoh L. 29. Quarshie E. (C) 9. Rabillard A. 13. Raghouber U. 12. Ribelin A. 14. Touho M. 20. Vargas-Rios H. 17. Yohou S.	1. Philippon A. (G) 2. Beltran H. 15. Calodat L. 24. Fichten L. 21. Fromager C. 3. Julloux A. 18. Louiserre M. 5. M'Dahoma K. 26. Socka Bongue L. 27. Suljic C. (C) 23. Tanard N.
Substitutes
26. Colas E. 6. Coutadeur M. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 8. Lauray A. 15. Vula A.	8. Caumet R. 14. Goncalves A. 25. Kaba M. 11. Mambu J. 29. Raspentino F.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Le Mans is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

GOAL FC is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Le Mans will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Le Mans won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
27.02.24	Villefranche - Le Mans	0:4 ✺
23.02.24	Red Star - Le Mans	4:1 ✺
16.02.24	Le Mans - Orleans	0:1 ✺
09.02.24	Versailles - Le Mans	0:0 ✺
02.02.24	Le Mans - Nîmes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLTT
- GOAL FC
French Ligue 3
27.02.24	Red Star - GOAL FC	2:1 ✺
23.02.24	GOAL FC - Rouen FC	1:0 ✺
16.02.24	Martigues - GOAL FC	3:0 ✺
02.02.24	GOAL FC - Épinal	0:1 ✺
26.01.24	GOAL FC - Dijon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
22.09.23	GOAL FC - Le Mans	1:2

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