Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 26

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Le Mans		Paris 13 Atletico

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.2
	1.86	3.15	4.4
	1.82	3.4	4.38
	1.77	3.18	4.76	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.6
	1.86	3.22	4.49	Watch
	1.86	3.15	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.81)	3.16 ↓ (3.36)	4.46 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
50.2%

Draw
29.1%

Paris 13 Atletico
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

27.5%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

26.2%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Paris 13 Atletico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris 13 Atletico than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Le Mans - Paris 13 Atletico Predictions

Users Predictions: Le Mans will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kocik N. (G) 33. Bernardeau G. 21. Eyoum T. 25. Gueye D. 8. Lauray A. 32. Matumona J. 12. Ribelin A. 27. Rossignol M. 5. Voyer H. 15. Vula A. 17. Yohou S.	1. Sanou G. (G) 2. Benard W. 12. Cisse C. 28. Diakhabi S. 17. Diako L. 6. Diarra M. 20. Guel M. 15. Karamoko I. 18. Mercier N. 3. Oyongo A. 27. Rocha Santos K.
Substitutes
7. Amir Z. 18. Lamgahez Z. 29. Oudjani A. 6. Quarshie E. 9. Rabillard A.	16. Bernard S. (G) 29. Butrot S. 33. Diomande D. 34. Sangare S. 4. Valentim E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Diako L. 🟥,
21', 1 - 0, Bernardeau G. ⚽, Ribelin A. (A),
21', Karamoko I. ↓, Valentim E. ↑,
26', Mercier N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Lauray A. 🟨,
54', Yohou S. ↓, Lamgahez Z. ↑,
63', Guel M. ↓, Sangare S. ↑,
63', Mercier N. ↓, Diomande D. ↑,
68', Vula A. ↓, Rabillard A. ↑,
68', Lauray A. ↓, Quarshie E. ↑,
78', Gueye D. ↓, Oudjani A. ↑,
78', Bernardeau G. ↓, Amir Z. ↑,
79', Benard W. ↓, Butrot S. ↑,
87', Lamgahez Z. 🟨,

Preview

Le Mans in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Paris 13 Atletico is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Paris 13 Atletico could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Le Mans is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Le Mans to win the game is with odds 1.82.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Le Mans won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Le Mans won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
14.03.25	Le Mans - Châteauroux	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Le Mans - Quevilly	2:1 ✺
21.02.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Le Mans	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Le Mans - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Dijon - Le Mans	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW
- Paris 13 Atletico
French Ligue 3
07.03.25	Quevilly - Paris 13 Atletico	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Bourg-Péronnas	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Boulogne - Paris 13 Atletico	3:1 ✺
14.02.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Dijon	0:0 ✺
07.02.25	Sochaux - Paris 13 Atletico	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
23.10.24	Paris 13 Atletico - Le Mans	2:3
24.02.23	Paris 13 Atletico - Le Mans	1:1
16.09.22	Le Mans - Paris 13 Atletico	4:0

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