Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 33

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)

Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Le Mans		Reims

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.63	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.65
	2.45	3.25	2.72	Watch
	2.57	3.45	2.88
	2.45	3.37	2.79	Watch
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.44	3.28	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.53)	3.25 ↓ (3.26)	2.74 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
37.4%

Draw
28.6%

Reims
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

28.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.5%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Le Mans - Reims Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Reims will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hatfout E. (G) 31. Boisse N. 17. Yohou S. 5. Voyer H. 29. Bretelle L. 18. Buades L. 8. Lauray A. 6. Quarshie E. (C) 22. Calodat L. 28. Colas E. 25. Gueye D.	29. Jaouen E. (G) 4. Busi M. 92. Kone A. 22. Kotto S. 18. Akieme S. 24. Gbane M. (C) 6. Leoni T. 7. Diarra T. 86. Zabi 9. Daramy M. 17. Nakamura K.
Substitutes
11. Bourabaa A. 3. Cossier I. 55. Delbecque A. (G) 20. Harhouz W. 9. Rabillard A. 12. Ribelin A. 27. Rossignol M.	90. Benhattab Y. 27. Bojang A. 28. Elie 20. Olliero A. (G) 30. Patrick J. 3. Sekine H. 87. Tia A.
Coaches
Videira P.	Geraerts K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Gbane M. ⚽, Leoni T. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Yohou S. ⚽, Lauray A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Akieme S. 🟨,
64', Gueye D. ↓, Rabillard A. ↑,
65', Quarshie E. ↓, Bourabaa A. ↑,
65', Zabi ↓, Benhattab Y. ↑,
65', Diarra T. ↓, Patrick J. ↑,
79', Lauray A. ↓, Rossignol M. ↑,
79', Colas E. ↓, Harhouz W. ↑,
83', Leoni T. ↓, Tia A. ↑,
84', Busi M. ↓, Sekine H. ↑,
84', Daramy M. ↓, Bojang A. ↑,
90', Voyer H. ↓, Cossier I. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Reims may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Le Mans: Gomes M. (Ankle Injury) Hamdi M. (Injury) Rossignol M. (Inactive) Vercruysse J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Reims: Ibrahim H. (Inactive) Okumu J. (Knee Injury) Pallois N. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Reims: 11.89%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15:9	6	13

Last Results with these Odds

Le Mans - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.91%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 2
25.04.26	Grenoble - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Le Mans - Clermont	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Boulogne - Le Mans	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Le Mans - Pau	4:0 ✺
20.03.26	Amiens - Le Mans	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWTWW
- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 2
25.04.26	Reims - Nancy	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Reims - Red Star	3:2 ✺
10.04.26	Laval - Reims	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Reims - Boulogne	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Guingamp - Reims	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
03.02.26	Reims - Le Mans	3:0
French Ligue 2
30.08.25	Reims - Le Mans	1:0
19.03.12	Le Mans - Reims	N/A

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