The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Le Mans 55.4%
Draw 24.1%
Pau 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
30.4%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.3%
29.8%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Le Mans's performance.
Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Le Mans that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.9%
21.7%
4.3%
Le Mans - Pau Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Pau will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 56% โ 91.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Le Mans (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Le Mans will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Kocik N. (G) 31. Boisse N. 17. Yohou S. 3. Cossier I. 29. Bretelle L. 18. Buades L. 24. Robin M. 6. Quarshie E. (C) 22. Calodat L. 25. Gueye D. 28. Colas E.
30. Salles E. (G) 2. Pouilly T. 97. Meddah D. 19. Kante 25. Ruiz J. (C) 3. Kalulu J. 84. Touzghar R. 21. Beusnard S. 20. Anziani J. 10. Versini G. 9. Dong K.
Substitutes
11. Bourabaa A. 20. Harhouz W. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 8. Lauray A. 9. Rabillard A. 12. Ribelin A. 5. Voyer H.
8. Basse S. 14. Bobichon A. 6. Fall C. 11. Gasnier K. 26. Glossoa N. 22. Raveyre N. (G) 18. Sadik O.
Coaches
Videira P.
Debes T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Gueye D. ⚽, Robin M. (A),
38', Anziani J. 🟨,
38', Kalulu J. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Gueye D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pouilly T. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
58', Touzghar R. 🟨,
61', Robin M. ↓, Bourabaa A. ↑,
61', Gueye D. ↓, Rabillard A. ↑,
62', Cossier I. 🟨,
66', Anziani J. ↓, Sadik O. ↑,
69', Quarshie E. ↓, Lauray A. ↑,
69', Cossier I. ↓, Voyer H. ↑,
76', Touzghar R. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
76', Kante ↓, Bobichon A. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Bretelle L. ⚽,
79', Calodat L. ↓, Ribelin A. ↑,
82', Dong K. ↓, Gasnier K. ↑,
83', 4 - 0, Rabillard A. ⚽, Colas E. (A),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 11).
Le Mans is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Pau has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Le Mans could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Le Mans: Eyoum T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Gomes M.
(Ankle Injury)
Quarshie E.
(Inactive)
Vercruysse J.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Karamoko S.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Le Mans: Rabillard A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Pau: Sissoko O.
(Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.