Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 28

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de la Licorne (Amiens)

Referee: Batta F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free


	Amiens		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.98
	3.5	3.3	2.02	Watch
	3.89	3.35	2.09
	3.73	3.34	2.01	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.64	3.42	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.58)	3.3 ↓ (3.33)	2.01 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amiens
25.8%

Draw
28.1%

Le Mans
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

28%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

26.9%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	11.1%	83.3%

Amiens - Le Mans Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Le Mans (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Le Mans will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bernardoni P. (G) 39. Chabane A. 34. Bakayoko S. 28. Lo A. 20. Kaiboue K. 27. Lutin R. 6. Monconduit T. (C) 45. Fofana I. 14. Leautey A. 10. Kandil N. 29. Sane I.	98. Kocik N. (G) 31. Boisse N. 17. Yohou S. (C) 5. Voyer H. 8. Lauray A. 18. Buades L. 29. Bretelle L. 24. Robin M. 22. Calodat L. 9. Rabillard A. 28. Colas E.
Substitutes
46. Aissat O. 11. Averlant T. 7. Hamache I. 44. Louis C. 9. Mlakar J. 90. Ntamack S. 16. Sauvage A. (G)	11. Bourabaa A. 3. Cossier I. 25. Gueye D. 20. Harhouz W. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 12. Ribelin A. 27. Rossignol M.
Coaches
Pochat A.	Videira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Rabillard A. ⚽,
10', Chabane A. 🟨,
13', 0 - 2, Yohou S. ⚽,
18', Bretelle L. 🟨,
27', 1 - 2, Leautey A. ⚽, Kandil N. (A),
31', 1 - 3, Bretelle L. ⚽, Buades L. (A),
38', Rabillard A. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
45', 2 - 3, Sane I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bretelle L. ↓, Bourabaa A. ↑,
54', 3 - 3, Kandil N. ⚽,
56', Fofana I. 🟨,
57', Voyer H. 🟨,
60', Lutin R. ↓, Averlant T. ↑,
69', Kaiboue K. 🟨,
71', Robin M. ↓, Rossignol M. ↑,
76', Kaiboue K. ↓, Louis C. ↑,
76', Sane I. ↓, Ntamack S. ↑,
83', Buades L. 🟨,
83', Lauray A. 🟨,
83', Fofana I. 🟨,
85', Leautey A. ↓, Hamache I. ↑,
85', Gueye D. ↓, Harhouz W. ↑,
85', Voyer H. ↓, Cossier I. ↑,
85', Kandil N. ↓, Mlakar J. ↑,
90+6', Monconduit T. 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 4, Cossier I. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

Amiens is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Le Mans has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Le Mans will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Amiens: Alvero S. (Red Card) Appiah A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kaiboue K. (Injury) Lobry V. (Knee Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive) Roussillon J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Le Mans: Eyoum T. (Injury) Gomes M. (Ankle Injury) Rossignol M. (Inactive) Vercruysse J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Amiens - the odds 3.58 are the expected chance of winning is 26.05%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Le Mans - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.94%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
13.03.26	Guingamp - Amiens	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Boulogne - Amiens	4:2 ✺
02.03.26	Amiens - Troyes	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Reims - Amiens	0:0 ✺
13.02.26	Amiens - Dunkerque	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLTL
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 2
13.03.26	Nancy - Le Mans	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	Le Mans - Annecy	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Red Star - Le Mans	0:0 ✺
23.02.26	Le Mans - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Montpellier - Le Mans	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
05.12.25	Le Mans - Amiens	1:0
13.04.12	Le Mans - Amiens	3:2

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