Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 34

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Salamanca		Lealtad

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.8	7.75
	1.29	4.85	7.7
	1.27	4.85	8.35
	1.28	5.22	8.73	Watch
	1.3	4.4	9.5
	1.33	5.28	7.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)	4.9 ↑ (4.34)	8.3 ↑ (6.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salamanca
70.4%

Draw
18.6%

Lealtad
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

21.2%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

20.4%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salamanca's performance.

Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Salamanca - Lealtad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Serrano M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 1 - 1, ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Martinez A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Lealtad is Relegated to

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Salamanca is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Salamanca won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Salamanca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salamanca
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.04.26	Burgos Promesas - Salamanca	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Salamanca - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Salamanca	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Salamanca - Rayo Cantabria	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Langreo - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLL
- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.04.26	Lealtad - Coruxo	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	UD Ourense - Lealtad	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Lealtad - Valladolid B	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	Atlético Astorga - Lealtad	3:4 ✺
29.03.26	Lealtad - Burgos Promesas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.12.25	Lealtad - Salamanca	0:1
02.05.21	Lealtad - Salamanca	0:0
04.04.21	Salamanca - Lealtad	1:1

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