Match Info

Date: 14 March 2021, Sunday


	Burgos		Lealtad

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.6	6.75
	1.45	3.55	7
	1.36	3.7	9.4
	1.4	4.06	10.84
	1.4	3.6	10
	1.4	3.96	9.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.7)	3.75 ↑ (3.35)	8.88 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
65.2%

Draw
24.5%

Lealtad
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

27%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

21.8%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burgos's performance.

Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lealtad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lealtad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Burgos - Lealtad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Promotion Group) and 8 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Relegation Group)).

Burgos is Qualified for Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Promotion Group)

Burgos is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lealtad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Burgos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Burgos is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Burgos won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.03.21	Numancia - Burgos	0:1 ✺
20.02.21	Burgos - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
14.02.21	Marino de Luanco - Burgos	3:0 ✺
10.02.21	Burgos - Valladolid B	2:0 ✺
07.02.21	Burgos - Covadonga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWT
- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.03.21	Lealtad - Valladolid B	1:1 ✺
27.02.21	Lealtad - Numancia	1:1 ✺
20.02.21	Real Oviedo B - Lealtad	2:1 ✺
14.02.21	Lealtad - Sporting de Gijón B	1:0 ✺
31.01.21	Leonesa - Lealtad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.12.20	Lealtad - Burgos	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.01.18	Burgos - Lealtad	2:1
27.08.17	Lealtad - Burgos	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.03.17	Lealtad - Burgos	2:1
30.10.16	Burgos - Lealtad	3:0
28.02.16	Burgos - Lealtad	1:1
10.10.15	Lealtad - Burgos	0:0

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