Match Info
National League North - Round 29Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday
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Alfreton Town |
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Chorley |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3 |
3.2 |
2.1 |
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3.05 |
3.25 |
2.18 |
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3.25 |
3.47 |
2.14 |
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3.15 |
3.49 |
2.15 |
 Watch |
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3.2 |
3.2 |
2.15 |
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3.2 |
3.24 |
2.09 |
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2.66 |
3.5 |
2.33 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↓
(3.65) |
3.34 ↓
(3.59) |
2.16 ↑
(1.91) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alfreton Town
29.9% | Draw
27.6% | Chorley
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chorley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chorley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Alfreton Town - Chorley Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Alfreton will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Cummings J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 3.Alfreton has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Chorley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Alfreton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Chorley: 1.12%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Alfreton Town - the odds 3.65 are the expected chance of winning is 25.46%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Chorley - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.65%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English National League North | | | 04.11.25 | Chorley - Alfreton Town | 0:1 | | 22.03.25 | Chorley - Alfreton Town | 2:0 | | 19.10.24 | Alfreton Town - Chorley | 1:0 | | 30.01.24 | Chorley - Alfreton Town | 3:2 | | 06.01.24 | Alfreton Town - Chorley | 2:0 | | 14.01.23 | Chorley - Alfreton Town | 0:0 | | 29.08.22 | Alfreton Town - Chorley | 0:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
