Match Info
National League North - Round 40Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday
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Spennymoor Town |
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Alfreton Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.73 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
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1.77 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
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1.88 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
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1.88 |
3.55 |
3.77 |
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1.87 |
3.65 |
3.81 |
 Watch |
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1.91 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
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1.85 |
3.42 |
3.75 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(1.94) |
3.5 ↓
(3.68) |
3.76 ↑
(3.46) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Spennymoor Town
49.6% | Draw
26.1% | Alfreton Town
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spennymoor Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)Spennymoor Town - Alfreton Town Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spennymoor (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Freeman K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 86', 1 - 1, Foreman K. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 23 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spennymoor won 3.Recent performances by Spennymoor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Alfreton's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Spennymoor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Spennymoor is a strong favorite.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Spennymoor won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 1.9:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Spennymoor won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.9:0.9).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Spennymoor: 0.73%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | -10 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
