Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 3

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	20:45	Premier Sport 1
Finland	21:45	CMore, CMore MAX
France	20:45	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	20:45	Sport 2
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 3
United Kingdom	19:45	TNT Sports


	Lecce		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.79	3.5	4.8
	1.88	3.3	4.5
	1.93	3.47	4.62
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.82	3.54	4.6	Watch
	1.91	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.92)	3.39 ↑ (3.37)	4.53 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

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Current Win Probability

Lecce
51.1%

Draw
28%

Salernitana
20.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49%

27.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

27.3%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.7%	17.1%	17.1%

Lecce - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 23 - 65.7%). Salernitana will win (votes: 6 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lecce: 50% – 81.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Falcone W. (G) 17. Gendrey V. 5. Pongracic M. 6. Baschirotto F. (C) 25. Gallo A. 8. Rafia H. 20. Ramadani Y. 77. Kaba M. 7. Almqvist P. 9. Krstovic N. 22. Banda L.	13. Ochoa G. (G) 66. Lovato M. 23. Gyomber N. 98. Pirola L. 21. Cabral J. 18. Coulibaly L. 99. Legowski M. 3. Bradaric D. 20. Kastanos G. 87. Candreva A. (C) 11. Botheim E.
Substitutes
18. Berisha M. 29. Blin A. 98. Borbei A. (G) 21. Brancolini F. (G) 45. Burnete R. 24. Corfitzen J. 55. Dermaku K. 13. Dorgu P. 16. Gonzalez J. 10. Oudin R. 91. Piccoli R. 26. Smajlovic Z. 27. Strefezza G. 59. Touba A. 12. Venuti L.	62. Allocca P. (G) 8. Bohinen E. 56. Costil B. (G) 17. Fazio F. 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 22. Ikwuemesi C. 7. Martegani A. 30. Mazzocchi P. 6. Sambia J. 36. Sfait A. 33. Tchatchoua J.
Coaches
D'Aversa R.	Sousa P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lecce won 3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Lecce is a favorite.

There will not play in Salernitana: Daniliuc F. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Salernitana: Maggiore G. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Lecce won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
27.08.23	Fiorentina - Lecce	2:2 ✺
20.08.23	Lecce - Lazio	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
13.08.23	Lecce - Como	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.23	Cádiz - Lecce	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	Cittadella - Lecce	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TWWTW
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
28.08.23	Salernitana - Udinese	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Roma - Salernitana	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
13.08.23	Salernitana - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Salernitana - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
29.07.23	Frosinone - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
27.01.23	Lecce - Salernitana	1:2
16.09.22	Salernitana - Lecce	1:2
Italian Serie B
02.04.21	Lecce - Salernitana	2:0
15.12.20	Salernitana - Lecce	1:1
Coppa Italia
18.08.19	Lecce - Salernitana	4:0
Italian Serie B
26.01.19	Salernitana - Lecce	1:2
02.09.18	Lecce - Salernitana	2:2

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