Match Info

Serie A - Round 17

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport OTT 6
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	15:00	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	15:00	DAZN France
Georgia	18:00	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	15:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong Kong	22:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	15:00	Arena 4
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	17:00	Shasha
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	08:00	Disney+
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	15:00	SuperSport OTT 6
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV1, Sport TV6
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	17:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport OTT 6, SuperSport Variety 1
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	23:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	21:00	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	15:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	17:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	21:00	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Lecce		Como

	1	X	2
	5	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.85
	4.95	3.35	1.82	Watch
	4.7	3.45	1.87
	4.84	3.36	1.84	Watch
	4.6	3.1	1.8
	5.06	3.53	1.87
	5	3.25	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (4.59)	3.36 ↓ (3.49)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecce
19.7%

Draw
28.4%

Como
51.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.7%

27.3%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

26.7%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.7%	5%	91.2%

Lecce - Como Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Como (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Lecce (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Lecce (5.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Como will win (73 of 80 users predict this - 91.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.06% – 97.44%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Como will win (40 of 44 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 47 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 5 - 10.6%). Como (votes: 41 - 87.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Falcone W. (C) 17. Veiga D. 5. Siebert J. 44. Tiago Gabriel 25. Gallo A. 77. Kaba M. 20. Ramadani Y. 93. Maleh Y. 50. Pierotti S. 9. Stulic N. 23. Sottil R.	1. Butez J. (G) 28. Smolcic I. 14. Ramon J. 34. Diego Carlos 18. Moreno A. 23. Perrone M. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 31. Vojvoda M. 10. Paz N. 17. Rodriguez J. 11. Douvikas A.
Substitutes
22. Camarda F. 28. Gorter O. 14. Helgason T. J. 18. Jean G. 21. Kouassi C. 80. Kovac N. 3. Ndaba C. 11. Ndri K. 33. Penev P. (G) 13. Perez M. 6. Sala A. 32. Samooja J. (G)	20. Baturina M. 6. Caqueret M. 44. Cavlina N. (G) 99. Cerri A. 4. Dossena A. 2. Kempf M. O. 19. Kuhn N. 55. Le Borgne A. 27. Posch S. 8. Roberto S. 3. Valle A. 77. Van der Brempt I. 22. Vigorito M. (G)
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Paz N. ⚽, Vojvoda M. (A),
22', Sottil R. 🟨,
24', Di Francesco E. 🟥,
34', Smolcic I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Smolcic I. ↓, Van der Brempt I. ↑,
54', Butez J. 🟨,
56', Diego Carlos 🟨,
66', 0 - 2, Ramon J. ⚽, Vojvoda M. (A),
69', Stulic N. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
69', Maleh Y. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
71', Perrone M. 🟨,
75', 0 - 3, Douvikas A. ⚽, Paz N. (A),
78', Rodriguez J. ↓, Kuhn N. ↑,
78', Diego Carlos ↓, Kempf M. O. ↑,
79', Sottil R. ↓, Helgason T. J. ↑,
79', Pierotti S. ↓, Sala A. ↑,
81', Ramadani Y. 🟨,
84', Vojvoda M. ↓, Baturina M. ↑,
90+2', Paz N. ↓, Le Borgne A. ↑,
90+3', Ramadani Y. ↓, Gorter O. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Como may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Como is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Lecce: Banda L. (International duty) Berisha M. (Injury) Coulibaly L. (International duty) Gaspar K. (Yellow Cards) Gaspar K. (International duty) Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Rafia H. (Inactive)

There will not play in Como: Diao A. (Thigh Injury) Dossena A. (Knee Injury) Goldaniga E. (Heel Injury) Morata A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lecce: Pierret B. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Como: Addai J. (Thigh Injury) Caqueret M. (Inactive) Roberto S. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Como - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 52%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
12.12.25	Lecce - Pisa	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cremonese - Lecce	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Lecce - Torino	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Lazio - Lecce	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Lecce - Verona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLT
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
15.12.25	Roma - Como	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Inter Milan - Como	4:0 ✺
28.11.25	Como - Sassuolo	2:0 ✺
24.11.25	Torino - Como	1:5 ✺
08.11.25	Como - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
19.04.25	Lecce - Como	0:3
30.12.24	Como - Lecce	2:0
Coppa Italia
13.08.23	Lecce - Como	1:0
Italian Serie B
05.02.22	Como - Lecce	1:1
29.08.21	Lecce - Como	1:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
18.02.13	Lecce - Como	2:0

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