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Lecce - Lazio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 22
  • Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday
  • Location: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce)
  • Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)
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    Lecce Lazio
    Lecce Lazio
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 4.75 2.9 1.95 #Advertisement. Watch and Bet. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Watch
    betsson 4.45 2.98 2.02 Watch and Bet Watch
    Bet_in_Asia 4.79 3.02 2.08
    GGBet 4.59 2.99 2.02 Watch and Bet Watch
    Williamhill 4.2 2.75 2.05
    BetNow 5.18 3.01 1.98
    Bovada 4.75 3 1.96
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.67 ↑
    (4.3)    		 2.95 ↓
    (3.24)    		 2.01 ↑
    (1.96)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

    • The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Lecce
    20.4%    		Draw
    32.3%    		Lazio
    47.4%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    22.1% 29.4% 48.5%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    22.4% 29.8% 47.8%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    20.8% 18.7% 60.4%

    Lecce - Lazio Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 10 - 21.3%). Lazio will win (votes: 28 - 59.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 19.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 45.6% – 73.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Lecce (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lazio will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Lazio (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    30. ItalyFalcone W. (C)
    17. PortugalVeiga D.
      5. GermanySiebert J.
    44. PortugalTiago Gabriel
    25. ItalyGallo A.
    16. IsraelGandelman O.
    20. AlbaniaRamadani Y.
    29. MaliCoulibaly L.
    50. ArgentinaPierotti S.
      9. SerbiaStulic N.
    19. ZambiaBanda L.
    		94. ItalyProvedel I. (G)
    29. ItalyLazzari M.
    34. SpainGila M.
    13. ItalyRomagnoli A.
    77. MontenegroMarusic A.
    24. NetherlandsTaylor K.
      5. UruguayVecino M.
    26. CroatiaBasic T.
    22. ItalyCancellieri M.
    19. SenegalDia B.
    10. ItalyZaccagni M. (C)
    Substitutes
    99. MoroccoCheddira W.
      8. TogoFofana S.
      1. GermanyFruchtl C. (G)
    18. FranceJean G.
    77. FranceKaba M.
    21. IvoryKouassi C.
    93. MoroccoMaleh Y.
      3. IrelandNdaba C.
    11. IvoryNdri K.
    79. MauritaniaNgom O.
    13. ChilePerez M.
      6. SpainSala A.
    32. FinlandSamooja J. (G)
    23. ItalySottil R.
      7. SpainTete Morente
    		21. MoroccoBelahyane R.
      7. NigeriaDele-Bashiru F.
    71. ItalyFarcomeni V.
    55. ItalyFurlanetto A. (G)
    23. AlbaniaHysaj E.
    18. DenmarkIsaksen G.
    35. GreeceMandas C. (G)
    14. NetherlandsNoslin T.
      9. SpainPedro
      3. ItalyPellegrini Lu.
    25. DenmarkProvstgaard O.
    20. SerbiaRatkov P.
    17. PortugalTavares N.
    Coaches
         ItalyDi Francesco E.
    		     ItalySarri M.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 52', Veiga D. 🟨,
    • 64', Banda L. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
    • 64', Stulic N. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
    • 64', Gila M. ↓, Provstgaard O. ↑,
    • 64', Vecino M. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
    • 64', Dia B. ↓, Ratkov P. ↑,
    • 73', Provstgaard O. 🟨,
    • 73', Lazzari M. ↓, Pellegrini Lu. ↑,
    • 82', Cancellieri M. ↓, Isaksen G. ↑,
    • 89', Pierotti S. ↓, Tete Morente ↑,
    • 90+1', Tiago Gabriel 🟨,

    Preview

  • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 9).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2.
  • Lecce has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • Lazio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Lazio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Lazio is considered a favorite.
  • There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M. (Injury) Camarda F. (Injury)
  • There will not play in Lazio: Cataldi D. (Yellow Cards) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Lecce: Pierret B. (Muscle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Lazio: Basic T. (Injury) Patric (Calf Injury) Rovella N. (Lacking Match Fitness) Vecino M. (Thigh Injury)
  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    2Lazio761014:41019
    12Lecce73049:12-39

    Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
    Lazio: 1.96% Lecce: 0.13%
    Last Results with these Odds

    Lecce - the odds 4.3 are the expected chance of winning is 22.12%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - US Lecce
    Italian Serie A
    18.01.26 Milan - Lecce 1:0 ✺
    14.01.26 Inter Milan - Lecce 1:0 ✺
    11.01.26 Lecce - Parma 1:2 ✺
    06.01.26 Lecce - Roma 0:2 ✺
    03.01.26 Juventus - Lecce 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10
    LLLLT
    - SS Lazio
    Italian Serie A
    19.01.26 Lazio - Como 0:3 ✺
    11.01.26 Verona - Lazio 0:1 ✺
    07.01.26 Lazio - Fiorentina 2:2 ✺
    04.01.26 Lazio - Napoli 0:2 ✺
    27.12.25 Udinese - Lazio 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7
    LWTLT
    Latest Head to Head
    Italian Serie A
    23.11.25 Lazio - Lecce 2:0
    25.05.25 Lazio - Lecce 0:1
    21.12.24 Lecce - Lazio 1:2
    14.01.24 Lazio - Lecce 1:0
    20.08.23 Lecce - Lazio 2:1
    12.05.23 Lazio - Lecce 2:2
    04.01.23 Lecce - Lazio 2:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - US Lecce
    Italian Serie A
    29.10.26 Frosinone - Lecce ✺
    25.10.26 Lecce - Juventus ✺
    - SS Lazio
    Italian Serie A
    27.10.26 Sassuolo - Lazio ✺
    24.10.26 Lazio - Parma ✺

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