Match Info

Serie A - Round 4

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, SportyNet
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play
Finland	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
India	ZEE5
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Iraq	Almanasa
Italy	DAZN 2, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
Saudi-arabia	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, Peacock, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo
Venezuela	Disney+


	Como		Parma

	1	X	2
	1.20	6.00	15.00
	1.22	7.00	12.00
	1.20	6.25	13.00	Watch
	1.23	6.70	15.50
	1.24	6.17	12.87	Watch
	1.21	6.55	15.00
	1.24	6.89	15.00
	1.23	7.00	14.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.27)	6.57 ↑ (5.48)	14.05 ↑ (11.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
78.6%

Draw
14.6%

Parma
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.6%

17.3%

8.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	4.8%	2.4%

Como - Parma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (1.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Como (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

AH -1.75 - Como (1.88) (votes: 90%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Como will win (39 of 42 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.07% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Como will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Sanchez R. (G) 27. Couto Y. 4. Ramon J. 2. Kempf M. O. 16. Kaiki 5. Perrone M. 7. Da Cunha L. (C) 11. Diao A. 10. Paz N. 20. Baturina M. 90. Kean M.	40. Corvi E. (G) 15. Delprato E. (C) 34. Diego Carlos 37. Troilo M. 27. Britschgi S. 4. Sierro V. 16. Keita M. 14. Valeri E. 19. Toure E. B. 76. Lontani S. 23. Elphege N.
Substitutes
1. Butez J. (G) 8. Caqueret M. 99. Chalobah T. 13. Dossena A. 9. Douvikas A. 18. Goldaniga E. 53. Kambwala W. 15. Lahdo A. 30. Liberali M. 6. Milla L. 21. Ricci S. 17. Rodriguez J. 28. Smolcic I. 3. Valle A. 22. Vigorito M. (G)	11. Almqvist P. 10. Bernabe A. 29. Carboni F. 8. Cremaschi B. 30. Daffara G. (G) 25. De Martis T. 72. Drobnic D. 80. Fabbian G. 20. Frigan M. 22. Ghidotti S. (G) 47. Konate A. 3. Ndiaye A. 32. Ordonez C. 9. Romero D. 5. Valenti L.
Coaches
Fabregas C.	Cuesta C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Ramon J. ⚽, Paz N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Baturina M. ↓, Caqueret M. ↑,
55', Diao A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
55', Toure E. B. ↓, Frigan M. ↑,
64', Kean M. ↓, Douvikas A. ↑,
64', Elphege N. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
64', Sierro V. ↓, Bernabe A. ↑,
76', Caqueret M. 🟨,
80', Lontani S. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
80', Britschgi S. ↓, Almqvist P. ↑,
80', Paz N. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
80', Da Cunha L. ↓, Milla L. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Kaiki ⚽, Perrone M. (A),
90+2', 2 - 1, Romero D. ⚽, Almqvist P. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Como won 2.

Como is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Parma is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Parma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Como has had a series of away games.

Recently, Parma has had a series of home games.

In this match, Como is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Como: Addai J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Parma: Nicolussi Caviglia H. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Bernabe A. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Como won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Como won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Como: 6.53% Parma: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9:6	3	10
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4:7	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Como - RB Leipzig	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
04.09.26	Genoa - Como	1:4 ✺
30.08.26	Napoli - Como	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Udinese - Como	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Liverpool - Como	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWTL
- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
06.09.26	Parma - Monza	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
01.09.26	Parma - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Juventus - Parma	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Parma - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Parma - Catania	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
17.05.26	Como - Parma	1:0
25.10.25	Parma - Como	0:0
03.05.25	Parma - Como	0:1
19.10.24	Como - Parma	1:1
Italian Serie B
24.02.24	Como - Parma	1:1
20.10.23	Parma - Como	2:1
18.03.23	Como - Parma	2:0

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