Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 23

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Referee: Volpi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Ternana		Como

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.87	3.25	2.37
	2.95	3.3	2.35	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.4
	3.19	3.25	2.46
	2.8	3.2	2.38
	3.03	3.28	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.73)	3.28 ↑ (3.12)	2.39 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
31.9%

Draw
28.7%

Como
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

30.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

32.8%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ternana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Como, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	25%	58.3%

Ternana - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Como will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 32. Sgarbi F. 19. Capuano M. (C) 44. Lucchesi L. 15. Casasola T. 25. Labojko J. 8. de Boer K. 79. Carboni F. 10. Pereiro G. 28. Di Stefano F. 9. Raimondo A.	1. Semper A. (G) 5. Curto M. 2. Goldaniga E. 93. Barba F. 44. Ioannou N. 14. Bellemo A. (C) 8. Baselli D. 21. Strefezza G. 90. Verdi S. 33. Da Cunha L. 9. Gabrielloni A.
Substitutes
72. Amatucci L. 5. Boloca G. 3. Bonugli M. 6. Dalle Mura C. 65. Dionisi F. 16. Faticanti G. 27. Favasuli C. 71. Luperini G. 22. Morlupo A. (G) 66. Pyyhtia N. 4. Sorensen F. 18. Vitali T. (G)	70. Ballet S. 12. Bolchini P. (G) 27. Braunoder M. 84. Cassandro T. 7. Chajia M. 99. Fumagalli T. 23. Gioacchini N. 6. Iovine A. 77. Nsame J. 32. Rispoli F. 3. Sala M.
Coaches
Breda R.	Roberts O.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ternana won 0.

Ternana is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Como is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ternana won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
27.01.24	Venezia - Ternana	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Ternana - Cittadella	3:1 ✺
13.01.24	Bari - Ternana	3:1 ✺
26.12.23	Ternana - Pisa	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Parma - Ternana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLTL
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
27.01.24	Como - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
20.01.24	Reggiana - Como	2:2 ✺
13.01.24	Como - Spezia	4:0 ✺
26.12.23	Nuova Cosenza - Como	1:2 ✺
23.12.23	Como - Palermo	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
17.09.23	Como - Ternana	2:1
13.05.23	Como - Ternana	3:1
18.12.22	Ternana - Como	0:3
15.03.22	Como - Ternana	1:1
01.11.21	Ternana - Como	1:2
Italian Super Cup Serie C
15.05.21	Como - Ternana	0:3
Italian Serie B
01.05.16	Como - Ternana	1:2

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