Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 23

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)


	Lecco		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.83	Watch
	3.8	3.6	1.88
	3.75	3.6	1.9
	4	3.65	1.95
	4.06	3.75	1.93
	4	3.6	1.75
	3.95	3.76	1.88	Watch
	3.85	3.6	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↓ (4.07)	3.66 ↑ (3.63)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
23.9%

Draw
25.8%

Cremonese
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

25.9%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

25.4%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	23.1%	69.2%

Lecco - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Lecco will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Cremonese will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Lamanna E. (G) 44. Guglielmotti D. 2. Celjak V. (C) 68. Ierardi M. 17. Caporale A. 27. Ionita A. 96. Galli G. 26. Frigerio M. R. 21. Crociata G. 10. Salcedo E. 29. Listkowski M.	21. Saro G. (G) 26. Antov V. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 44. Lochoshvili L. 17. Sernicola L. 32. Abrego G. 19. Castagnetti M. 7. Falletti C. 98. Zanimacchia L. 90. Coda M. 71. Johnsen D.
Substitutes
6. Bianconi A. 13. Capradossi E. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 45. Inglese R. 83. Lemmens M. 32. Lepore F. 7. Lunetta G. 90. Novakovich A. 14. Parigini V. 11. Salomaa H. 22. Saracco U. (G) 8. Sersanti A.	11. Afena-Gyan F. 12. Brahja T. (G) 9. Ciofani D. 24. Della Rovere G. 18. Ghiglione P. 97. Livieri A. (G) 4. Marrone L. 33. Quagliata G. 31. Rocchetti Y. 74. Tsadjout F.
Coaches
Bonazzoli E.	Stroppa G.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Lecco is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cremonese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Cremonese is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lecco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
27.01.24	FeralpiSalò - Lecco	5:1 ✺
20.01.24	Lecco - Pisa	1:3 ✺
12.01.24	Catanzaro - Lecco	5:3 ✺
26.12.23	Lecco - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Venezia - Lecco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLWT
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
27.01.24	Cremonese - Brescia	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Spezia - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Cremonese - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.01.24	Roma - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
26.12.23	Palermo - Cremonese	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.11.23	Cremonese - Lecco	1:0

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