Match Info

Date: 10 January 2021, Sunday


	Livorno		Pro Patria

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.05	2.5
	2.8	2.85	2.44
	2.7	3.38	2.61
	2.9	3.1	2.4
	2.84	3.13	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (5)	3.1 ↓ (4.4)	2.48 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
33.2%

Draw
29.7%

Pro Patria
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

21%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

12.5%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Livorno's performance.

Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pro Patria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.8%	9.1%	84.1%

Livorno - Pro Patria Predictions

Users Predictions: Pro Patria will win (37 of 44 users predict this - 84.09%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.28% – 94.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group A
23.12.20	Como - Livorno	1:0 ✺
20.12.20	Livorno - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
16.12.20	Pro Vercelli - Livorno	0:2 ✺
13.12.20	Pistoiese - Livorno	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Livorno - Pontedera	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWLT
- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
23.12.20	Pro Patria - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
20.12.20	Novara - Pro Patria	0:0 ✺
13.12.20	Pro Patria - Lecco	2:1 ✺
06.12.20	Juventus U23 - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
29.11.20	Pro Patria - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWLT

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