Match Info

Date: 20 December 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Livorno		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.5	4.75
	1.67	3.25	5
	1.67	3.4	4.6
	1.62	3.3	5.4
	1.68	3.44	5.92
	1.65	3.3	5.8
	1.66	3.54	5.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.69)	3.39 ↓ (3.42)	5.22 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
55.5%

Draw
27%

Lucchese
17.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.4%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

16.9%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-21.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Livorno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucchese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Livorno - Lucchese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Livorno is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lucchese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Livorno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Livorno is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Livorno won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Livorno won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group A
16.12.20	Pro Vercelli - Livorno	0:2 ✺
13.12.20	Pistoiese - Livorno	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Livorno - Pontedera	0:0 ✺
21.11.20	Grosseto - Livorno	1:0 ✺
14.11.20	Livorno - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTLL
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group A
13.12.20	Lucchese - Piacenza	1:0 ✺
06.12.20	Lucchese - Alessandria	0:2 ✺
02.12.20	Pontedera - Lucchese	0:1 ✺
29.11.20	Pistoiese - Lucchese	2:0 ✺
25.11.20	Lucchese - AlbinoLeffe	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
22.01.18	Lucchese - Livorno	1:1
20.09.17	Livorno - Lucchese	3:0
05.02.17	Lucchese - Livorno	0:0
18.09.16	Livorno - Lucchese	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
01.11.26	Livorno - Ostia Mare	✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.26	Spezia - Livorno	✺

Livorno - Lucchese