Match Info

Date: 23 December 2020, Wednesday


	Como		Livorno

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.75
	1.87	3.5	3.5	Watch
	1.8	3.15	4
	1.95	3.05	3.65
	1.96	3.53	3.87
	2	3.25	3.7
	1.93	3.26	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.83)	3.28 ↑ (3.24)	3.77 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
47.8%

Draw
27.9%

Livorno
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

28.1%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

22.1%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Como, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Livorno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Como - Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Como is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Livorno is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Livorno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Como will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Como won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Como won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie C Group A
20.12.20	Grosseto - Como	3:4 ✺
12.12.20	Como - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
06.12.20	Pontedera - Como	2:2 ✺
03.12.20	Pro Sesto - Como	0:1 ✺
30.11.20	Como - Piacenza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWTWT
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group A
20.12.20	Livorno - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
16.12.20	Pro Vercelli - Livorno	0:2 ✺
13.12.20	Pistoiese - Livorno	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Livorno - Pontedera	0:0 ✺
21.11.20	Grosseto - Livorno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
29.01.17	Livorno - Como	1:2
14.09.16	Como - Livorno	0:1
Italian Serie B
25.01.16	Livorno - Como	1:1
12.09.15	Como - Livorno	1:2

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