The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Korona Kielce 41.9%
Draw 27.1%
Pogoń Szczecin 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.2%
28.8%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
28.6%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
33.3%
22.2%
Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Korona (votes: 1 - 25%). Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Korona (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Korona (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Korona (votes: 3 - 50%). Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dziekonski X. (G) 24. Smolarczyk B. 5. Resta P. 6. Pieczek M. 71. Dlugosz W. 8. Remacle M. 88. Svetlin T. 3. Matuszewski K. 10. Nono (C) 70. Antonin 7. Blanik D.
77. Cojocaru V. (G) 28. Wahlqvist L. 22. Loncar D. 2. Huja M. 32. Koutris L. 6. Bieganski J. 90. Greenwood S. 61. Smolinski K. 7. Juwara M. 11. Grosicki K. (C) 99. Kostorz K.
Substitutes
61. Budnicki J. 21. Ciszek K. 9. Davidovic S. 27. Kaminski W. 87. Mamla R. (G) 11. Nikolov V. 15. Niski N. 26. Popov V. 23. Rubezic S. 13. Strzebonski M. 37. Zwozny H.
31. Kaminski K. (G) 13. Keramitsis D. 17. Lis J. 9. Molnar R. 18. Mukairu P. 19. Ndiaye M. 10. Przyborek A. 8. Ulvestad F. 35. Wojciechowski M.
Coaches
Zielinski J.
Kolendowicz R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Greenwood S. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Blanik D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Smolinski K. ↓, Przyborek A. ↑,
56', Kostorz K. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
56', Bieganski J. ↓, Ulvestad F. ↑,
65', Nono ↓, Popov V. ↑,
69', Antonin ↓, Niski N. ↑,
70', Blanik D. ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
70', Greenwood S. ↓, Molnar R. ↑,
76', Remacle M. ↓, Kaminski W. ↑,
76', Dlugosz W. ↓, Davidovic S. ↑,
87', Koutris L. ↓, Keramitsis D. ↑,
89', Smolarczyk B. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 7)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 0.
Korona is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Pogoń Szczecin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Korona could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges
(Injury)
There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Bieganski J.
(Injury)
Ulvestad F.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korona won 2 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).