Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 31

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Poznan (Poznań)

Referee: Stefanski D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball


	Lech Poznań		Puszcza Niepołomice

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	9	Watch
	1.31	5.5	8.75
	1.24	6	10	Watch
	1.27	6.25	9.92
	1.29	5.88	9.75	Watch
	1.3	5	9
	1.28	5.75	9.4	Watch
	1.24	6	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.27)	5.7 ↑ (5.67)	9.48 ↑ (9.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań
73.7%

Draw
16.4%

Puszcza Niepołomice
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.6%

16.5%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Puszcza Niepołomice have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Lech Poznań - Puszcza Niepołomice Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 50%). Puszcza (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Lech (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lech Poznań will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Puszcza (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Mrozek B. (G) 2. Pereira J. 90. Monka W. 16. Milic A. 15. Gurgul M. 43. Kozubal A. 24. Jagiello F. 8. Gholizadeh A. 7. Sousa A. 9. Ishak M. (C) 11. Hakans D.	1. Komar K. (G) 8. Mrozinski P. 4. Szymonowicz D. 22. Craciun A. 33. Abramowicz D. 14. Serafin J. (C) 5. Stepien K. 12. Stepien M. 6. Atanasov J. 7. Klimek A. 11. Cholewiak M.
Substitutes
35. Bednarek F. (G) 29. Carstensen R. 53. Dudek S. 19. Fiabema B. 77. Gonzalez M. 21. Hotic D. 56. Lisman K. 55. Pingot M.	24. Blagaic J. 31. Perchel M. (G) 17. Radecki M. 67. Revenco I. 18. Siplak M. 27. Solowiej L. 19. Stec J. 10. Tomalski H. 3. Yakuba R.
Coaches
Frederiksen N.	Tulacz T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Gholizadeh A. ⚽, Pereira J. (A),
14', 2 - 0, Gholizadeh A. ⚽, Pereira J. (A),
16', 3 - 0, Ishak M. ⚽, Gholizadeh A. (A),
21', 3 - 1, Atanasov J. ⚽, Craciun A. (A),
32', 4 - 1, Sousa A. ⚽, Hakans D. (A),
35', 5 - 1, Sousa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Craciun A. ↓, Solowiej L. ↑,
46', Stepien M. ↓, Radecki M. ↑,
46', Abramowicz D. ↓, Yakuba R. ↑,
56', 6 - 1, Ishak M. ⚽,
61', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Hotic D. ↑,
61', Kozubal A. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
64', 7 - 1, Lisman K. ⚽, Hakans D. (A),
67', Atanasov J. ↓, Stec J. ↑,
67', Serafin J. ↓, Blagaic J. ↑,
69', Sousa A. ↓, Dudek S. ↑,
69', Ishak M. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
79', Hakans D. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
82', 8 - 1, Hotic D. ⚽, Milic A. (A),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Lech is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Puszcza is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Puszcza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Puszcza has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lech is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Lech: Dagerstal F. (Ankle Injury) Douglas A. (Inactive) Thordarson G. (Broken collarbone)

There will not play in Puszcza: Barkovsky G. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Lech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.04.25	Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań	2:2 ✺
21.04.25	Lech Poznań - Cracovia	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Motor Lublin - Lech Poznań	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWWL
- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.04.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin	4:5 ✺
21.04.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Radomiak Radom	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	GKS Katowice - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:1 ✺
07.04.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
01.04.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
02.11.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Lech Poznań	2:0
13.04.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Lech Poznań	2:1
06.10.23	Lech Poznań - Puszcza Niepołomice	4:1

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