Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 27

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach (Niepołomice)

Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball


	Puszcza Niepołomice		Raków Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.5	1.42	Watch
	5.25	3.75	1.63
	7.2	4.3	1.43	Watch
	7.8	4.28	1.45	Watch
	5.5	3.7	1.6
	7.51	4.51	1.42	Watch
	7.2	4.3	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.85 ↑ (5.18)	4.19 ↓ (4.27)	1.48 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
13.8%

Draw
22.5%

Raków Częstochowa
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

21.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

21.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.3%	0%	96.7%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1.5 - Raków (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Raków Częstochowa will win (29 of 30 users predict this - 96.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.25% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Raków Częstochowa will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 13 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Komar K. (G) 22. Craciun A. 4. Szymonowicz D. 3. Yakuba R. 8. Mrozinski P. 14. Serafin J. (C) 6. Atanasov J. 5. Stepien K. 88. Zhukov G. 11. Cholewiak M. 35. Kosidis M.	1. Trelowski K. (G) 4. Svarnas S. 24. Arsenic Z. (C) 3. Rundic M. 26. Otieno E. 5. Berggren G. 30. Kochergin V. 20. Silva J. 84. Adriano 10. Lopez I. 18. Brunes J.
Substitutes
63. Barkovsky G. 24. Blagaic J. 7. Klimek A. 31. Perchel M. (G) 67. Revenco I. 9. Siemaszko A. 18. Siplak M. 27. Solowiej L. 10. Tomalski H.	23. Barath P. 15. Diaz J. 12. Kuciak D. (G) 8. Lederman B. 9. Makuch P. 2. Mosor A. 14. Plavsic S. 17. Rocha L. 7. Tudor F.
Coaches
Tulacz T.	Papszun M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Svarnas S. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Lopez I. ⚽, Otieno E. (A),
37', Szymonowicz D. 🟨,
44', Yakuba R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zhukov G. ↓, Tomalski H. ↑,
46', Yakuba R. ↓, Klimek A. ↑,
46', Kosidis M. ↓, Barkovsky G. ↑,
67', Lopez I. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
68', Barkovsky G. 🟨,
76', Adriano ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
83', Brunes J. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
84', Kochergin V. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
90+2', Serafin J. ↓, Siemaszko A. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Barkovsky G. ⚽, Cholewiak M. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0.

Puszcza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Raków is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Raków could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Raków is a favorite.

There will not play in Puszcza: Radecki M. (Injury) Tomalski H. (Injury)

There will not play in Raków: Ameyaw M. (Inactive) Racovitan B. (Injury) Rodin M. (Yellow Cards)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 8:29 (average 0.6:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:12 (average 0.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Cup
01.04.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin	0:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.03.25	Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Piast Gliwice	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Korona Kielce - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Motor Lublin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLL
- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.03.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Raków Częstochowa	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw	3:2 ✺
08.03.25	Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa	0:3 ✺
03.03.25	Raków Częstochowa - Lechia Gdańsk	3:1 ✺
21.02.25	Raków Częstochowa - Górnik Zabrze	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
28.09.24	Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0
Club Friendly
03.07.24	Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.03.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa	1:1
03.09.23	Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0
Club Friendly
27.06.23	Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice	4:0
Polish Division 1
11.11.18	Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa	1:3
21.07.18	Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:0

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