Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 27

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Polsat Plus Arena (Gdansk) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Canada	14:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	20:15	Arena Sport 5
Finland	21:15	Veikkaus TV
Poland	20:15	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	14:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz


	Lechia Gdańsk		Korona Kielce

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	1.98	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.01	3.77	3.74
	1.97	3.77	3.65	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.5
	1.94	3.78	3.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.19)	3.62 ↑ (3.48)	3.51 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Gdańsk
47.4%

Draw
25.9%

Korona Kielce
26.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.5%

27.3%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

27.6%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	18.7%	12.5%

Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Korona will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lechia Gdańsk will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Paulsen A. (G) 33. Wojtowicz T. 15. Dyachuk M. 80. Rodin M. 27. Vojtko M. 10. Kapic R. (C) 5. Zhelizko I. 11. Mena C. 79. Sezonienko K. 8. Cirkovic A. 89. Bobcek T.	1. Dziekonski X. (G) 23. Rubezic S. 44. Sotiriou K. 5. Resta P. 71. Dlugosz W. 8. Remacle M. 88. Svetlin T. 6. Pieczek M. 9. Davidovic S. 14. Stepinski M. 7. Blanik D. (C)
Substitutes
49. Bambecki I. 21. Glogowski M. 23. Kalahur M. 2. Kludka B. 90. Kurminowski D. 76. Mavraj I. 99. Neugebauer T. 4. Pllana B. 29. Sarnavskyi B. (G) 17. Tsarenko A. 7. Viunnyk B. 1. Weirauch S. (G)	77. Cebula M. 21. Ciszek K. 86. Gustafson S. 19. Hancko A. 87. Mamla R. (G) 3. Matuszewski K. 20. Minuczyc K. 10. Nono 26. Popov V. 24. Smolarczyk B. 37. Zwozny H.
Coaches
Carver J.	Zielinski J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Wojtowicz T. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Cirkovic A. ⚽, Bobcek T. (A),
27', Sotiriou K. 🟥,
29', 2 - 0, Bobcek T. (Penalty Awarded),
33', Davidovic S. ↓, Matuszewski K. ↑,
45', Mena C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Mena C. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
46', Wojtowicz T. ↓, Kludka B. ↑,
59', 3 - 0, Kapic R. ⚽, Zhelizko I. (A),
62', Bobcek T. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
67', Remacle M. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
67', Stepinski M. ↓, Cebula M. ↑,
67', Dlugosz W. ↓, Zwozny H. ↑,
75', Sezonienko K. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
77', Kurminowski D. 🟨,
78', 3 - 1, Blanik D. (Penalty Awarded),
82', 3 - 2, Resta P. ⚽, Rubezic S. (A),
88', Pieczek M. ↓, Hancko A. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 2, Kurminowski D. ⚽, Neugebauer T. (A),
90+4', Kapic R. ↓, Pllana B. ↑,
90+6', Pllana B. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lechia might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Lechia: Bobcek T. (Muscle Injury) Mena C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Lechia: Rodin M. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Korona Kielce	12	5	3	4	14:18	-4	18

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Korona Kielce: 1.53%

Last Results with these Odds

Lechia Gdańsk - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 43.46%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Korona Kielce - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 29.19%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.03.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	GKS Katowice - Lechia Gdańsk	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk	2:2 ✺
23.02.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Lubin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWTL
- Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.03.26	Korona Kielce - Arka Gdynia	3:0 ✺
16.03.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Korona Kielce - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Motor Lublin - Korona Kielce	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
27.09.25	Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk	3:0
11.05.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce	3:2
09.11.24	Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk	0:0
18.02.23	Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk	1:0
06.08.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce	0:1
01.03.20	Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk	1:2
21.09.19	Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce	2:0

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