Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 22

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday

Location: Polsat Plus Arena (Gdansk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sporty TV
Finland	Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Lechia Gdańsk		Zagłębie Lubin

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.25	Watch
	1.84	3.81	4.46
	1.71	4	4.69	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.2
	1.7	3.74	4.62	Watch
	1.66	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.91)	3.76 ↑ (3.07)	4.46 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Gdańsk
54.2%

Draw
24.8%

Zagłębie Lubin
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

29.1%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.8%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lechia Gdańsk's performance.

Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lechia Gdańsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	10.5%	5.3%

Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Lubin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lechia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Lechia (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lechia Gdańsk will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lechia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Paulsen A. (G) 33. Wojtowicz T. 4. Pllana B. 80. Rodin M. 23. Kalahur M. 11. Mena C. 10. Kapic R. (C) 5. Zhelizko I. 8. Cirkovic A. 89. Bobcek T. 99. Neugebauer T.	1. Buric J. (G) 13. Grzybek M. 25. Nalepa M. 4. Michalski D. 3. Yakuba R. 8. Dabrowski D. (C) 26. Kolan J. 27. Diaz J. 44. Regula M. 16. Corluka J. 17. Szabo L.
Substitutes
49. Bambecki I. 15. Dyachuk M. 21. Glogowski M. 16. Jaunzems A. 2. Kludka B. 90. Kurminowski D. 76. Mavraj I. 79. Sezonienko K. 17. Tsarenko A. 7. Viunnyk B. 1. Weirauch S. (G) 6. Wendt K.	20. Dziewiatowski M. 12. Gikiewicz R. (G) 9. Kosidis M. 7. Kowalczyk S. 84. Ligocki J. 6. Makowski T. 88. Mlinaric M. 31. Orlikowski I. 18. Radwanski A. 19. Sypek J. 94. Urbanski M. 11. Wozniak A.
Coaches
Carver J.	Ojrzynski L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Grzybek M. ⚽, Diaz J. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Regula M. ⚽,
45+4', Dabrowski D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cirkovic A. ↓, Sezonienko K. ↑,
46', Wojtowicz T. ↓, Kludka B. ↑,
54', Grzybek M. 🟨,
61', Michalski D. ↓, Orlikowski I. ↑,
69', Diaz J. ↓, Radwanski A. ↑,
69', Regula M. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
71', Neugebauer T. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
78', Corluka J. 🟨,
87', Zhelizko I. 🟨,
89', Grzybek M. ↓, Makowski T. ↑,
89', Szabo L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+4', Kosidis M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Lechia is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Lechia: Vojtko M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Diaz J. (Inactive) Hladun D. (Shoulder Injury) Kocaba F. (Yellow Cards) Lawniczak A. (Inactive) Popielec C. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:32. (average 1.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Zaglebie: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Zaglebie	10	4	3	3	12:13	-1	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.02.26	Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk	2:3 ✺
06.02.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Cracovia	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.01.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Mladost Lučani	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Hradec Králové	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTWTL
- Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.02.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Raków Częstochowa	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Korona Kielce - Zagłębie Lubin	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Zagłębie Lubin - GKS Katowice	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
21.01.26	Levski Sofia - Zagłębie Lubin	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Qarabağ Agdam	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
15.08.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk	6:2
17.02.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk	1:3
11.08.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Lubin	1:1
06.05.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Lubin	1:3
24.10.22	Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk	0:3
30.04.22	Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk	2:2
06.11.21	Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Lubin	2:1

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