Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 6

Date: 25 August 2023, Friday

Location: Polsat Plus Arena (Gdańsk)

Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)


	Lechia Gdańsk		Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.75
	2.15	3.5	2.85
	2.43	3.36	2.98
	2.25	3.1	2.88
	2.29	3.42	2.89
	2.15	3.4	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.05)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)	2.92 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Gdańsk
41%

Draw
27.4%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Lechia Gdańsk - Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Podbeskidzie will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Sarnavskyi B. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 4. Chindris A. 3. Olsson E. 20. Conrado 8. Kapic R. 6. Bieganski J. 5. Zhelizko I. 7. Mena C. 10. Fernandez L. (C) 11. Pila D.	95. Procek P. (G) 2. Ziolkowski M. 6. Hlavica J. 89. Mikolajewski D. 4. Chlumecky M. 10. Janota M. (C) 30. Jodlowiec T. 5. Kolenc J. 24. Sitek M. 7. Bida B. 9. Banaszewski M.
Substitutes
45. Bajko M. 26. Brzek B. 23. Kalahur M. 42. Kardas A. 83. Mikulko A. (G) 99. Neugebauer T. 79. Sezonienko K. 21. Sypek J. 9. Zjawinski L.	79. Abate L. 47. Bernard B. 20. Kadric H. 32. Kisiel J. 1. Lukac P. (G) 23. Misztal M. 14. Stryjewski Ma. 8. Stryjewski Mi. 77. Tomasik P.
Coaches
Grabowski S.	Mokry G.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lechia won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Lechia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Lechia won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Lechia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Division 1
20.08.23	Resovia Rzeszów - Lechia Gdańsk	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
04.08.23	Wisła Płock - Lechia Gdańsk	1:1 ✺
28.07.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin	0:1 ✺
22.07.23	Chrobry Głogów - Lechia Gdańsk	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTLW
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 1
18.08.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Odra Opole - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
07.08.23	Resovia Rzeszów - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
06.03.21	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Lechia Gdańsk	2:2
26.09.20	Lechia Gdańsk - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	4:0
13.02.16	Lechia Gdańsk - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	5:0
28.08.15	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Lechia Gdańsk	1:1
29.11.14	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Lechia Gdańsk	1:0
25.07.14	Lechia Gdańsk - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0
09.11.13	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Lechia Gdańsk	3:1

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