Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 4

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday

Location: Polsat Plus Arena (Gdansk)

Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Lechia Gdańsk		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.8	2.8	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.25
	2.25	3.45	2.88	Watch
	2.33	3.7	2.99
	1.45	4.87	5.98	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.25
	2.28	3.62	2.89	Watch
	2.08	3.3	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.22)	3.67 ↑ (3.18)	3.37 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Gdańsk
45.5%

Draw
26.1%

Motor Lublin
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

29.2%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

29.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	20%	33.3%

Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Motor will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lechia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weirauch S. (G) 16. Jaunzems A. 15. Dyachuk M. 3. Olsson E. 27. Vojtko M. 11. Mena C. 5. Zhelizko I. 10. Kapic R. 79. Sezonienko K. 89. Bobcek T. 7. Viunnyk B.	1. Brkic I. (C) 17. Wojcik F. 3. Matthys H. 42. Ede B. 47. Palacz K. 68. Wolski B. 21. Labojko J. 7. Rodrigues I. 26. Krol M. 9. Czubak K. 30. Ndiaye M.
Substitutes
72. Awad M. 26. Brzek B. 33. Ferri J. 21. Glogowski M. 81. Gutowski K. (G) 23. Kalahur M. 90. Kurminowski D. 99. Neugebauer T. 6. Wendt K.	77. Dadashov R. 23. Haxha F. 10. Karasek K. 24. Luberecki F. 2. Meyer P. K. 6. Samper S. 8. Scalet M. 22. Simon C. 28. Stolarski P. 33. Tratnik G. (G) 19. Van Hoeven B.
Coaches
Carver J.	Stolarski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Viunnyk B. ⚽, Bobcek T. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Czubak K. ⚽, Palacz K. (A),
41', 1 - 2, Rodrigues I. ⚽, Czubak K. (A),
45+1', 2 - 2, Bobcek T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Palacz K. ↓, Luberecki F. ↑,
51', Rodrigues I. 🟨,
52', Zhelizko I. 🟨,
53', 2 - 3, Wolski B. ⚽,
59', Viunnyk B. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
62', Ndiaye M. ↓, Haxha F. ↑,
68', Rodrigues I. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
69', Sezonienko K. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
69', Kapic R. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
76', Bobcek T. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,
79', 3 - 3, Mena C. ⚽, Jaunzems A. (A),
80', Wojcik F. ↓, Stolarski P. ↑,
80', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
82', Awad M. 🟨,
84', Ede B. 🟨,

Preview

Lechia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Motor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lechia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Motor has had a series of home games.

Lechia might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Motor: Bartos M. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Motor Lublin - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 29.06%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.08.25	Cracovia - Lechia Gdańsk	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań	3:4 ✺
20.07.25	Górnik Zabrze - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:0 ✺
05.07.25	Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLWL
- Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.07.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Motor Lublin	4:1 ✺
20.07.25	Motor Lublin - Arka Gdynia	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
05.07.25	Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk	5:3 ✺
28.06.25	Motor Lublin - FC Dinamo Bucureşti	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.07.25	Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk	5:3
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.02.25	Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk	1:1
26.07.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin	0:2
Polish Division 1
16.12.23	Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk	1:0
28.07.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin	0:1

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