Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 28

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Orlen Stadion (Płock)

Referee: Nagamine K. (Jpn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Wisła Płock		Lechia Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.78	3.35	2.35	Watch
	3.03	3.45	2.39
	2.92	3.5	2.39	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.38
	2.89	3.32	2.35	Watch
	2.5	3.35	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.25)	3.37 ↑ (3.25)	2.39 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
33.2%

Draw
27.7%

Lechia Gdańsk
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

27.2%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

28.1%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wisła Płock's form might have worsened.

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lechia Gdańsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wisła Płock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lechia Gdańsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	30%	60%

Wisła Płock - Lechia Gdańsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Lechia will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leszczynski R. (G) 4. Haglind-Sangre M. 35. Kaminski M. 25. Mijuskovic N. 21. Rogelj Z. 30. Nowak W. 88. Savvidis K. 8. Pacheco D. 19. Gallapeni D. 20. Sekulski L. (C) 99. Juric D.	18. Paulsen A. (G) 33. Wojtowicz T. 15. Dyachuk M. 80. Rodin M. 27. Vojtko M. 10. Kapic R. (C) 5. Zhelizko I. 11. Mena C. 79. Sezonienko K. 8. Cirkovic A. 89. Bobcek T.
Substitutes
37. Bokhno M. 27. Borowski B. 26. Burek J. (G) 2. Custovic K. 17. Djalo M. 16. Hiszpanski F. 14. Kun D. 13. Lecoeuche Q. 9. Niarchos G. 6. Pomorski K. 18. Sarapata D. 84. Tavares T.	49. Bambecki I. 21. Glogowski M. 23. Kalahur M. 2. Kludka B. 90. Kurminowski D. 76. Mavraj I. 99. Neugebauer T. 29. Sarnavskyi B. (G) 17. Tsarenko A. 7. Viunnyk B. 1. Weirauch S. (G)
Coaches
Misiura M.	Carver J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Pacheco D. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Savvidis K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Sezonienko K. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
61', Gallapeni D. ↓, Lecoeuche Q. ↑,
72', Pacheco D. ↓, Kun D. ↑,
72', Juric D. ↓, Niarchos G. ↑,
75', Dyachuk M. 🟨,
77', Niarchos G. 🟨,
81', Kapic R. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
83', Sekulski L. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
90+3', Zhelizko I. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 0.

Wisła Płock has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lechia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Wisła Płock has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Wisła Płock: Karamarko M. (Knee Injury) Salvador I. (Injury)

There will not play in Lechia: Pllana B. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Wisla Plock: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Wisla Plock	9	3	2	4	9:15	-6	11

Last Results with these Odds

Wisła Płock - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.35%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.04.26	GKS Katowice - Wisła Płock	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Cracovia - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Wisła Płock - Arka Gdynia	0:3 ✺
02.03.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Wisła Płock	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWLL
- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.04.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	GKS Katowice - Lechia Gdańsk	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
03.10.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock	1:1
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Wisła Płock - Lechia Gdańsk	1:1
Polish Division 1
17.02.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock	3:1
04.08.23	Wisła Płock - Lechia Gdańsk	1:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.01.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock	1:0
17.07.22	Wisła Płock - Lechia Gdańsk	3:0
17.12.21	Wisła Płock - Lechia Gdańsk	1:0

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