Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Lechia Gdańsk		Stal Rzeszów

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.8
	1.82	3.5	3.8
	1.8	3.75	4
	1.83	3.6	3.5
	1.82	3.88	4.15
	1.75	3.7	3.75
	1.78	3.8	3.94
	1.85	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.85)	3.67 ↑ (3.53)	3.87 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Gdańsk
51%

Draw
25.1%

Stal Rzeszów
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.1%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

26.3%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Stal Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Stal Rzeszów aligns with the current prediction.

Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Rzeszów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Sarnavskyi B. (G) 99. Neugebauer T. 4. Chindris A. 3. Olsson E. 23. Kalahur M. 5. Zhelizko I. 8. Kapic R. (C) 30. Khlan M. 11. Pila D. 7. Mena C. 89. Bobcek T.	44. Wrabel J. (G) 2. Warczak P. 14. Koscielny K. 26. Gora L. 91. Oleksy P. 42. Kadziolka S. 7. Danielewicz K. 46. Lyczko S. 31. Thill S. 10. Adler 11. Prokic A. (C)
Substitutes
45. Bajko M. 77. Borkowski B. 26. Brzek B. 16. D'Arrigo L. 42. Kardas A. 83. Mikulko A. (G) 79. Sezonienko K. 21. Sypek J. 9. Zjawinski L.	24. Bieszczad G. (G) 28. Diaz J. 9. Klos W. 41. Lysiak K. 27. Pena C. 20. Piatek K. 17. Sadlocha K. 22. Simcak M. 18. Wachowiak K.
Coaches
Grabowski S.	Zub M.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 13).

Recent matches Lechia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stal Rzeszów is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lechia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lechia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Division 1
06.10.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Lechia Gdańsk	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
28.09.23	Wisła Kraków - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 ET ✺
Polish Division 1
22.09.23	Lechia Gdańsk - GKS Katowice	5:1 ✺
16.09.23	Odra Opole - Lechia Gdańsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTLWT
- Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
21.10.23	Stal Rzeszów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.10.23	Cracovia - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
07.10.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Stal Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Stal Rzeszów - Resovia Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Znicz Pruszków - Stal Rzeszów	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TLWWW

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