Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 8

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski Odra (Opole)

Referee: Arys K. (Pol)


	Odra Opole		Lechia Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.3
	2	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2.02	3.61	3.66
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	1.99	3.5	3.48	Watch
	2.05	3.45	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.91)	3.44 ↓ (3.46)	3.45 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odra Opole
46.2%

Draw
26.9%

Lechia Gdańsk
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26.6%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

26%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odra Opole has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odra Opole than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Odra Opole - Lechia Gdańsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Odra Opole will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lechia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Haluch A. (G) 22. Spychala M. 27. Kaminski M. (C) 2. Zemlo P. 24. Szrek J. 5. Niziolek R. 13. Purzycki A. 25. Antczak J. 11. Czaplinski D. 77. Galan B. 9. Mikinic T.	29. Sarnavskyi B. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 4. Chindris A. 3. Olsson E. 20. Conrado 8. Kapic R. 69. Bieganski J. 21. Sypek J. 7. Mena C. 10. Fernandez L. (C) 89. Bobcek T.
Substitutes
12. Kalinowski D. (G) 8. Kaminski W. 28. Pikk A. 3. Piroch J. 29. Surzyn M. 37. Szklinski S. 16. Urbanczyk M. 17. Walis P.	26. Brzek B. 16. D'Arrigo L. 23. Kalahur M. 83. Mikulko A. (G) 99. Neugebauer T. 11. Pila D. 79. Sezonienko K. 9. Zjawinski L.
Coaches
Nocon A.	Grabowski S.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 9).

Odra Opole is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lechia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Odra Opole have a series of home games.

Odra Opole will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odra Opole
Polish Division 1
02.09.23	Odra Opole - Arka Gdynia	1:0 ✺
28.08.23	Odra Opole - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
18.08.23	Wisła Kraków - Odra Opole	1:3 ✺
12.08.23	Odra Opole - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
06.08.23	Odra Opole - GKS Tychy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WTWWL
- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Division 1
03.09.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Lechia Gdańsk	5:2 ✺
25.08.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:0 ✺
20.08.23	Resovia Rzeszów - Lechia Gdańsk	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
04.08.23	Wisła Płock - Lechia Gdańsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWT

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