Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 15

Date: 10 November 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra


	Lechia Gdańsk		Wisła Kraków

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.05
	3.1	3.4	2.05
	3.3	3.6	2.05
	3.33	3.52	2.21
	3.33	3.52	2.17
	3	3.4	2
	3.22	3.56	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (3.12)	3.48 ↓ (3.49)	2.09 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Gdańsk
28.9%

Draw
26.7%

Wisła Kraków
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

26.3%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.7%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Kraków Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Wisła will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 69.5% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Sarnavskyi B. (G) 99. Neugebauer T. 4. Chindris A. 3. Olsson E. 23. Kalahur M. 8. Kapic R. (C) 5. Zhelizko I. 7. Mena C. 30. Khlan M. 11. Pila D. 89. Bobcek T.	93. Raton A. (G) 25. Jaroch B. 5. Colley J. 6. Uryga A. (C) 28. Junca D. 8. Carbo M. 21. Gogol P. 17. Alfaro J. 10. Miki 9. Rodado A. 22. Goku Roman
Substitutes
26. Brzek B. 27. Bugaj D. 16. D'Arrigo L. 42. Kardas A. 72. Koperski F. 83. Mikulko A. (G) 79. Sezonienko K. 21. Sypek J. 9. Zjawinski L.	77. Baena Perez A. 1. Broda K. (G) 50. Kutwa M. 26. Lasicki I. 7. Sapala I. 19. Satrustegui E. 23. Sobczak S. 18. Talar B. 54. Wisniewski K.
Coaches
Grabowski S.	Sobolewski R.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lechia won 2.

Lechia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Wisła is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wisła could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Wisła will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Lechia won 9 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 32-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Lechia won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Division 1
05.11.23	GKS Tychy - Lechia Gdańsk	1:3 ✺
31.10.23	Polonia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
06.10.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Lechia Gdańsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWTT
- Wisła Kraków
Polish Cup
07.11.23	Wisła Kraków - Polonia Warsaw	3:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
03.11.23	Wisła Kraków - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
27.10.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Wisła Kraków	2:1 ✺
20.10.23	Wisła Kraków - Resovia Rzeszów	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.10.23	Stal Mielec - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
28.09.23	Wisła Kraków - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 ET
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.03.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Kraków	1:1
12.09.21	Wisła Kraków - Lechia Gdańsk	2:2
13.03.21	Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Kraków	2:0
28.10.20	Wisła Kraków - Lechia Gdańsk	1:3
01.12.19	Wisła Kraków - Lechia Gdańsk	0:1
28.07.19	Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Kraków	0:0

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