Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 12

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach (Suwałki)


	Wigry Suwałki		Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.45	2.58
	2.33	3.45	2.56	Watch
	2.37	3.55	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.95)	3.48 ↓ (3.55)	2.6 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigry Suwałki
38.9%

Draw
26.1%

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

25.2%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

24.2%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigry Suwałki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wigry Suwałki's form might have worsened.

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigry Suwałki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wigry Suwałki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Glowicki K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Swiety L. ⚽,
57', 3 - 0, Swiety L. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 10).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Tomaszów Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wigry won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Wigry won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.10.25	GKS Bełchatów - Wigry Suwałki	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Wigry Suwałki - Legia II	2:4 ✺
20.09.25	ŁKS Łomża - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Wigry Suwałki - Wikielec	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Broń Radom - Wigry Suwałki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLTTL
- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.10.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
30.09.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Śląsk Wrocław	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.09.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Widzew Łódź II - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.05.25	Wigry Suwałki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:0
03.11.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	1:2

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