Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass (Częstochowa)


	Skra Częstochowa		Polonia Nysa

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.85	4.35
	1.67	3.87	4
	1.57	3.98	4.76	Watch
	1.65	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.63)	3.86 ↑ (3.8)	4.28 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
55.6%

Draw
23.3%

Polonia Nysa
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

23.6%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

23.2%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Polonia Nysa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Polonia Nysa aligns with the current prediction.

Skra Częstochowa - Polonia Nysa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Metlushko I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 2 - 0, Metlushko I. ⚽,
58', Wojciechowski Z. 🟥,
78', 2 - 1, Podgorski M. ⚽,
83', 2 - 2, Lechowicz M. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Polonia Nysa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Skra Częstochowa is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
04.10.25	Starowice Dolne - Skra Częstochowa	1:4 ✺
27.09.25	Skra Częstochowa - Stal Jasień	6:2 ✺
19.09.25	Polkowice - Skra Częstochowa	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	Skra Częstochowa - Pniówek Pawłowice	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Skra Częstochowa	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLTW
- Polonia Nysa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
04.10.25	Słowianin Wolibórz - Polonia Nysa	2:4 ✺
26.09.25	Polonia Nysa - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Nysa	5:2 ✺
12.09.25	Polonia Nysa - Stal Jasień	5:1 ✺
05.09.25	Polonia Nysa - Kluczbork	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTLWW

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