Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Workington		Hebburn Town

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.35	1.85
	3.65	3.53	1.89
	3.65	3.73	1.89	Watch
	3.6	3.2	1.85
	3.86	3.42	1.82
	3.6	3.5	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.64)	3.46 ↓ (3.85)	1.87 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Workington
24.8%

Draw
26.4%

Hebburn Town
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

24.1%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

23.2%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Workington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Hebburn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Workington than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Workington - Hebburn Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Martin G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Workington is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hebburn is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Workington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hebburn has had a series of home games.

Hebburn might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Workington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Workington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Workington: 1.98%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Workington	12	6	3	3	23:19	4	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
13.01.26	United of Manchester - Workington	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Whitby Town - Workington	0:0 ✺
01.01.26	Workington - Lancaster City	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Cleethorpes Town - Workington	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Workington - Stockton Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTTLL
- Hebburn Town
English NPL Premier Division
20.01.26	Hebburn Town - Whitby Town	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Hebburn Town - Ashton United	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Stockton Town - Hebburn Town	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Hebburn Town - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Hebburn Town - Morpeth Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
16.09.25	Hebburn Town - Workington	2:1
01.01.25	Hebburn Town - Workington	3:1
26.08.24	Workington - Hebburn Town	2:1

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