Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 25

Date: 1 January 2025, Wednesday


	Leek Town		Matlock Town

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.3
	2.6	3.45	2.35
	2.75	3.49	2.41	Watch
	2.62	3.3	2.3
	2.66	3.34	2.3
	2.6	3.45	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.45)	3.39 ↓ (3.44)	2.34 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leek Town
34.4%

Draw
26.8%

Matlock Town
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

26.5%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

26.8%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Matlock Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Leek Town - Matlock Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Gibson M. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Gibson M. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Hurst A. ⚽,
42', 2 - 2, Campbell H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 3 - 2, Potts L. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 3, Oglesby C. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Recent matches Leek is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Matlock in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Matlock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leek won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.24	Macclesfield Town - Leek Town	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Leek Town - Basford United	4:1 ✺
14.12.24	Worksop Town - Leek Town	2:0 ✺
10.12.24	Guiseley - Leek Town	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Leek Town - Hyde United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 54.2 WWLTT
- Matlock Town
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.24	Matlock Town - Ilkeston	4:0 ✺
14.12.24	Matlock Town - Mickleover Sports	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Morpeth Town - Matlock Town	3:3 ✺
16.11.24	Blyth Spartans - Matlock Town	0:4 ✺
09.11.24	Matlock Town - Bamber Bridge	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
26.08.24	Matlock Town - Leek Town	1:2

Upcoming Matches