Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 17

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Matlock Town		Bamber Bridge

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.8
	2.13	3.55	2.9
	2.17	3.84	2.85
	2.2	3.8	2.89
	2.14	3.52	2.87
	2.13	3.55	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.22)	3.61 ↑ (3.4)	2.87 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matlock Town
42.7%

Draw
25.4%

Bamber Bridge
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

25.8%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matlock Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Bamber Bridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Matlock Town - Bamber Bridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Cullen M. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Campbell R. ⚽,
31', Ravenhill R. 🟥,
43', 1 - 2, Churchman C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 2, Granite J. ⚽,
65', 3 - 2, Gibson M. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Matlock won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Matlock won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:17 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Matlock won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matlock Town
English NPL Premier Division
02.11.24	Stockton Town - Matlock Town	1:0 ✺
29.10.24	Matlock Town - Macclesfield Town	2:3 ✺
22.10.24	Matlock Town - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Matlock Town - Basford United	3:2 ✺
12.10.24	Hebburn Town - Matlock Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LLTWW
- Bamber Bridge
English NPL Premier Division
02.11.24	Bamber Bridge - Morpeth Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Workington - Bamber Bridge	2:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
19.10.24	Bamber Bridge - United of Manchester	4:0 ✺
15.10.24	Bamber Bridge - Stockton Town	1:5 ✺
12.10.24	Basford United - Bamber Bridge	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
16.12.23	Bamber Bridge - Matlock Town	2:1
12.08.23	Matlock Town - Bamber Bridge	0:0
15.04.23	Matlock Town - Bamber Bridge	1:0
26.11.22	Bamber Bridge - Matlock Town	5:1
22.01.22	Matlock Town - Bamber Bridge	2:1
25.09.21	Bamber Bridge - Matlock Town	2:4
19.09.20	Bamber Bridge - Matlock Town	1:0

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