The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Matlock Town 31.5%
Draw 25.4%
Ilkeston 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
25.5%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
24.8%
42.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matlock Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Matlock Town - Ilkeston Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Gibson M. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Campbell R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Oglesby C. ⚽,
58', 4 - 0, Gibson M. ⚽,
59', 🟥,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Matlock won 3.
Matlock is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ilkeston in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Matlock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Matlock won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:7 (average 0.9:0.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Matlock won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 0.7:0.7).
Watch
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