Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 21

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Guiseley		Leek Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.15
	2	3.7	3.15
	2.03	3.83	3.17	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.2
	2.03	3.53	3.43
	2.08	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (2)	3.53 ↑ (3.35)	3.18 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Guiseley
45.3%

Draw
26%

Leek Town
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

26.5%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27.2%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Guiseley - Leek Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 0, Longbottom W. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 11).

In recent matches, Guiseley has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leek is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Guiseley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guiseley will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Guiseley won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Guiseley won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Guiseley - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 44.39%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
22.11.25	Guiseley - Ashton United	4:2 ✺
18.11.25	Workington - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Guiseley - Cleethorpes Town	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Whitby Town - Guiseley	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Guiseley - Hednesford Town	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTTL
- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
02.12.25	Stockton Town - Leek Town	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Leek Town - Workington	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Whitby Town - Leek Town	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Leek Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
11.11.25	Leek Town - Ashton United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
06.09.25	Leek Town - Guiseley	4:0
22.02.25	Leek Town - Guiseley	2:2
10.12.24	Guiseley - Leek Town	1:1

Upcoming Matches