Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 22

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Sandy Lane Stadium (Worksop)


	Worksop Town		Leek Town

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.4	4.6
	1.47	4.4	5.2
	1.51	4.6	4.84
	1.53	4.53	5.22
	1.45	4.5	5
	1.47	4.2	5.53
	1.47	4.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.42)	4.43 (4.43)	5.08 ↓ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
61.5%

Draw
20.6%

Leek Town
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.6%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

19.4%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Leek Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Worksop Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Worksop Town - Leek Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Hughes L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 2 - 0, Hall L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Worksop is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leek is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Worksop could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Worksop is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Worksop won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English NPL Premier Division
07.12.24	Ilkeston - Worksop Town	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Worksop Town - Stockton Town	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Lancaster City - Worksop Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Radcliffe - Worksop Town	3:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
12.11.24	Worksop Town - Whitby Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTLW
- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
10.12.24	Guiseley - Leek Town	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Leek Town - Hyde United	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Bamber Bridge - Leek Town	3:1 ✺
16.11.24	Ashton United - Leek Town	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Leek Town - United of Manchester	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
07.09.24	Leek Town - Worksop Town	0:4
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Leek Town - Worksop Town	2:1

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