Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 19

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Leevon PPK		Rīgas FS 2

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.25
	1.24	4.31	15.00	Watch
	2.56	3.52	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.45)	3.81 ↓ (4.2)	6.52 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leevon PPK
53.4%

Draw
29.4%

Rīgas FS 2
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

21.6%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

20.9%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leevon PPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leevon PPK's performance.

Rīgas FS 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rīgas FS 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leevon PPK than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leevon PPK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rīgas FS 2 than the current prediction. (+25.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rīgas FS 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leevon PPK - Rīgas FS 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Soloha R. (G) 22. Baumanis R. 14. Cernovs A. 25. Kirkils G. (C) 21. Kravcenko K. 15. Krums R. 10. Liepins L. 97. Muiznieks R. 72. Ozols A. 99. Romenskis D. 33. Treimanis N.	1 . Vilkovs S. (C) 14. Boroviks S. 10. Facu 9. Gandzs L. 3. Konate F. 11. Kuliks M. 2. Poldseps R. 15. Rudens K. 25. Sedols D. 5. Stuglis E. 22. Sylla M.
Substitutes
2. Arsauskis R. 32. Cevers R. 3. Jaunarajs-Janvaris R. 28. Lusis R. 7. Romenskis D. 1. Rumanis M. (G) 12. Saulitis H. (G) 4. Trapucka D.	20. Baumanis K. 4. Ilenans K. 19. Jacenkovs R. 12. Kuprins A. (G) 18. Melkis R. 7. Putnins P. 17. Sibass R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Konate F. 🟨,
29', Cernovs A. ↓, Arsauskis R. ↑,
31', 0 - 1, Facu ⚽,
40', Poldseps R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Stuglis E. ↓, Ilenans K. ↑,
46', Boroviks S. ↓, Sibass R. ↑,
46', Facu ↓, Melkis R. ↑,
46', Konate F. ↓, Baumanis K. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Muiznieks R. ⚽,
67', Gandzs L. ↓, Jacenkovs R. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Treimanis N. ⚽,
85', Krums R. 🟨,
85', Rudens K. 🟨,
88', Krums R. ↓, Cevers R. ↑,
90', Romenskis D. 🟨,
90+3', Treimanis N. ↓, Romenskis D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 5).

In recent matches, Leevon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

RFS 2 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leevon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leevon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Leevon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leevon PPK
Latvian 1 Liga
30.08.25	Leevon PPK - Smiltene	3:2 ✺
22.08.25	Leevon PPK - Riga Mariners	2:3 ✺
10.08.25	Augšdaugavas - Leevon PPK	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Leevon PPK - Tukums 2000 2	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Ogre United - Leevon PPK	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWL
- Rīgas FS 2
Latvian 1 Liga
01.09.25	Rīgas FS 2 - Mārupe	4:1 ✺
22.08.25	Skanstes - Rīgas FS 2	0:3 ✺
02.08.25	JDFS Alberts - Rīgas FS 2	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Rēzekne - Rīgas FS 2	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Rīgas FS 2 - Smiltene	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
03.05.25	Rīgas FS 2 - Leevon PPK	2:1
20.10.24	Rīgas FS 2 - Leevon PPK	1:0
28.06.24	Leevon PPK - Rīgas FS 2	1:2

Upcoming Matches