Match Info

1. Liga - Round 18

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Latvia	13:00	Futbols TV


	Leevon PPK		Super Nova 2

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.20	5.25
	1.5	4.15	4.7
	1.47	4.23	5.14
	1.49	4.44	5.08	Watch
	1.47	4	4.45
	1.44	4.33	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)	4.23 ↓ (4.5)	5.1 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leevon PPK
61.1%

Draw
21.3%

Super Nova 2
17.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62%

20.4%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

19.7%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leevon PPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The chances for Super Nova 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leevon PPK than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Super Nova 2 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Leevon PPK - Super Nova 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Kellers O. ⚽, Aogaki S. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Glindzins N. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Aogaki S. ⚽, Kurtiss M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 7).

In recent matches, Leevon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Super Nova 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Super Nova 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Leevon has had a series of home games.

Recently, Super Nova 2 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Leevon is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leevon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Leevon PPK	24	16	5	3	49:29	20	53
8	Super Nova 2	24	7	8	9	33:36	-3	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leevon PPK
Latvian 1 Liga
01.08.26	Leevon PPK - Rēzekne	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Leevon PPK - Skanstes	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Leevon PPK - Riga Mariners	2:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
10.07.26	Leevon PPK - Riga	2:3 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
05.07.26	Valmiera - Leevon PPK	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLL
- Super Nova 2
Latvian 1 Liga Women
15.08.26	Mārupe - Super Nova 2	2:1 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
31.07.26	Super Nova 2 - Riga Mariners	0:3 ✺
25.07.26	JDFS Alberts - Super Nova 2	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Riga 2 - Super Nova 2	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Rīgas FS 2 - Super Nova 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
26.04.26	Super Nova 2 - Leevon PPK	2:3

Leevon PPK - Super Nova 2