Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 28

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	K-Sport 1, SuperSport 1
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kosovo	K Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	Disney+


	Leganés		Betis

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.3	2	Watch
	3.75	3.3	2.05
	3.75	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.8	3.35	2.13
	3.99	3.26	2.09	Watch
	3.8	3.3	2
	4.22	3.39	2.01	Watch
	3.75	3.4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↓ (3.99)	3.34 ↓ (3.46)	2.06 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
24.8%

Draw
28.7%

Betis
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

27.7%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

28.1%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Betis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Betis than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.7%	15%	73.3%

Leganés - Betis Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 7 - 11.7%). Betis will win (votes: 44 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Betis: 62.1% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 12. Rosier V. 6. Gonzalez S. (C) 22. Nastasic M. 20. Hernandez J. 5. Tapia R. 17. Neyou Y. 8. Cisse S. 14. Brasanac D. 11. Cruz J. 10. Raba D.	13. Adrian (G) 23. Sabaly Y. 3. Llorente D. 6. Natan 15. Perraud R. 16. Altimira S. 18. Fornals P. 7. Antony 22. Isco (C) 10. Ezzalzouli A. 19. Cucho Hernandez
Substitutes
2. Altimira A. 36. Alvin (G) 24. Chicco J. 9. de la Fuente M. 18. Duk 21. Lopez R. 23. Munir El Haddadi 7. Rodriguez O. 3. Saenz J. 1. Soriano J. (G)	9. Avila C. 11. Bakambu C. 5. Bartra M. 2. Bellerin H. 14. Carvalho W. 46. Flores M. 30. Garcia G. (G) 36. Rodriguez J. 12. Rodriguez R. 24. Ruibal A. 25. Vieites F. (G)
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Pellegrini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', Neyou Y. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Raba D. ⚽,
39', Perraud R. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Raba D. ⚽, Cruz J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
61', Raba D. ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
62', Ezzalzouli A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
62', Sabaly Y. ↓, Ruibal A. ↑,
62', Fornals P. ↓, Bakambu C. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Isco (Pen),
65', Rosier V. 🟨,
70', Llorente D. ↓, Bartra M. ↑,
75', Neyou Y. ↓, Rodriguez O. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Bakambu C. ⚽,
82', 2 - 3, Cucho Hernandez ⚽, Isco (A),
85', Cucho Hernandez ↓, Carvalho W. ↑,
85', Brasanac D. ↓, Chicco J. ↑,
85', Cisse S. ↓, Munir El Haddadi ↑,
85', Gonzalez S. ↓, Duk ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leganés won 1.

Leganés is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Betis in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leganés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Betis will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Leganés: Barisic B. (Knee Injury) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Betis: Lo Celso G. (Muscle Injury) Roca M. (Foot Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Leganés won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:13 (average 1.5:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Leganés won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:2 (average 2.2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga
08.03.25	Celta de Vigo - Leganés	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Leganés - Getafe	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Real Sociedad - Leganés	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Leganés - Deportivo Alavés	3:3 ✺
09.02.25	Valencia - Leganés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLTL
- Real Betis
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.03.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Betis	0:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
09.03.25	Betis - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.03.25	Betis - Vitoria Guimarães	2:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.03.25	Betis - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Getafe - Betis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
13.09.24	Betis - Leganés	2:0
16.02.20	Leganés - Betis	0:0
31.08.19	Betis - Leganés	2:1
10.02.19	Leganés - Betis	3:0
30.09.18	Betis - Leganés	1:0
19.05.18	Leganés - Betis	3:2
15.01.18	Betis - Leganés	3:2

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