Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 25

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	17:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Belgium	21:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Moja TV
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	TSN+
Chile	17:00	DirecTV Sports
China	04:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	00:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	01:30	GXR World
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Macao	04:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	01:00	ICE Plus
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mauritius	00:00	MBC 11
Mexico	14:00	Sky Sport
Mozambique	22:00	TV Miramar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Peru	15:00	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Setanta Sports
Poland	21:00	CANAL+ Sport 5, Canal+ Sport Online
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America
South Korea	05:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	04:00	DAZN
Tanzania	23:00	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	23:00	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United Kingdom	20:00	beIN Sports MENA English 2, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	17:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	16:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
International	20:00	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Real Sociedad		Leganés

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	7	Watch
	1.6	3.75	7	Watch
	1.6	3.85	7.09
	1.59	3.79	6.93	Watch
	1.57	3.75	6.5
	1.61	3.97	7.1	Watch
	1.6	3.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.55)	3.8 ↑ (3.78)	6.95 ↓ (7.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
60.7%

Draw
25.4%

Leganés
13.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.9%

25.5%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

25.1%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.9%	24.3%	10.8%

Real Sociedad - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 22 - 62.9%). Leganés will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 25.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 46.9% – 78.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 19. Aramburu J. 6. Elustondo A. (C) 21. Aguerd N. 12. Lopez J. 4. Zubimendi M. 14. Kubo T. 8. Zakharyan A. 28. Marin P. 17. Gomez S. 9. Oskarsson O.	13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 2. Altimira A. 12. Rosier V. 6. Gonzalez S. (C) 22. Nastasic M. 11. Cruz J. 17. Neyou Y. 5. Tapia R. 8. Cisse S. 10. Raba D. 19. Garcia D.
Substitutes
7. Barrenetxea A. 37. Beitia L. 32. Fraga A. (G) 41. Marchal A. 13. Marrero U. (G) 31. Martin J. 23. Mendez B. 3. Munoz A. 2. Odriozola A. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 10. Oyarzabal M. 22. Turrientes B.	36. Alvin (G) 14. Brasanac D. 24. Chicco J. 9. de la Fuente M. 18. Duk 20. Hernandez J. 21. Lopez R. 7. Rodriguez O. 3. Saenz J. 1. Soriano J. (G)
Coaches
Alguacil I.	Jimenez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Zakharyan A. ⚽, Marin P. (A),
32', Aguerd N. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
41', Rosier V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Zakharyan A. ↓, Olasagasti J. A. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Kubo T. ⚽, Aramburu J. (A),
53', Garcia D. ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
53', Cruz J. ↓, Rodriguez O. ↑,
58', Aguerd N. 🟨,
61', Kubo T. 🟨,
61', Tapia R. 🟨,
63', Rodriguez O. 🟨,
66', Kubo T. ↓, Barrenetxea A. ↑,
66', Oskarsson O. ↓, Oyarzabal M. ↑,
73', Altimira A. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
74', Cisse S. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
74', Olasagasti J. A. 🟨,
80', 3 - 0, Olasagasti J. A. ⚽, Martin J. (A),
83', Elustondo A. ↓, Beitia L. ↑,
87', Raba D. ↓, Duk ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 3.

Real Sociedad is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leganés is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leganés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Sociedad is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Becker S. (Red Card) Pacheco J. (Muscle Injury) Sucic L. (Injury) Traore H. (Knee Injury) Zubeldia I. (Red Card)

There will not play in Leganés: Barisic B. (Knee Injury) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury) Munir El Haddadi (Red Card)

Our prediction for today's Real Sociedad to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:11 (average 1.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
UEFA Europa League
20.02.25	Real Sociedad - Midtjylland	5:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
16.02.25	Betis - Real Sociedad	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	Midtjylland - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
09.02.25	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.02.25	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWW
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga
15.02.25	Leganés - Deportivo Alavés	3:3 ✺
09.02.25	Valencia - Leganés	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.02.25	Leganés - Real Madrid	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
31.01.25	Leganés - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Athletic Bilbao - Leganés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
08.12.24	Leganés - Real Sociedad	0:3
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.22	Leganés - Real Sociedad	2:3
Spanish LaLiga
02.02.20	Leganés - Real Sociedad	2:1
08.11.19	Real Sociedad - Leganés	1:1
16.02.19	Real Sociedad - Leganés	3:0
24.08.18	Leganés - Real Sociedad	2:2
12.05.18	Real Sociedad - Leganés	3:2

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