Match Info

LaLiga - Round 30

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	K-Sport 1, SuperSport 3
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	K Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Leganés		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	3	Watch
	2.7	3	2.8
	2.75	2.95	2.95	Watch
	2.74	2.94	3.03	Watch
	2.75	3	2.8
	2.88	2.95	2.9	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.61)	2.96 ↓ (3.18)	2.92 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
34.8%

Draw
32.4%

Osasuna
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

30.3%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

29.6%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The chances for Osasuna have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.2%	59%	14.8%

Leganés - Osasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 16 - 26.7%). Osasuna will win (votes: 9 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 35 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45.8% – 70.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Leganés (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Leganés (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Leganés (votes: 6 - 40%). Osasuna (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 12. Rosier V. 6. Gonzalez S. (C) 22. Nastasic M. 20. Hernandez J. 17. Neyou Y. 5. Tapia R. 11. Cruz J. 8. Cisse S. 10. Raba D. 19. Garcia D.	1. Herrera S. (C) 12. Areso J. 22. Boyomo F. 24. Catena A. 5. Herrando J. 23. Bretones A. 14. Garcia R. 7. Moncayola J. 6. Torro L. 10. Oroz A. 17. Budimir A.
Substitutes
2. Altimira A. 36. Alvin (G) 14. Brasanac D. 24. Chicco J. 9. de la Fuente M. 30. Diomande Y. 18. Duk 21. Lopez R. 23. Munir El Haddadi 3. Saenz J. 1. Soriano J. (G)	20. Arnaiz J. M. 11. Barja K. 3. Cruz J. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 9. Garcia R. 4. Garcia U. 16. Gomez M. 8. Ibanez P. 18. Munoz I. 15. Pena R. 31. Valencia P. (G)
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Moreno V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Oroz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Herrando J. ⚽, Catena A. (A),
55', Neyou Y. 🟨,
61', Nastasic M. ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
61', Rosier V. 🟨,
62', Raba D. 🟨,
70', Garcia D. ↓, Munir El Haddadi ↑,
72', Moncayola J. 🟨,
77', Oroz A. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
77', Moncayola J. ↓, Ibanez P. ↑,
83', Hernandez J. ↓, Diomande Y. ↑,
86', Bretones A. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Raba D. (Pen),
88', Budimir A. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
88', Garcia R. ↓, Arnaiz J. M. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leganés won 1.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Leganés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Leganés: Barisic B. (Knee Injury) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez O. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Osasuna: Zaragoza B. (Hamstring Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Leganés won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Leganés won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga
29.03.25	Real Madrid - Leganés	3:2 ✺
16.03.25	Leganés - Betis	2:3 ✺
08.03.25	Celta de Vigo - Leganés	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Leganés - Getafe	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Real Sociedad - Leganés	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWL
- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
30.03.25	Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
27.03.25	Barcelona - Osasuna	3:0 ✺
16.03.25	Osasuna - Getafe	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Osasuna - Valencia	3:3 ✺
21.02.25	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
17.08.24	Osasuna - Leganés	1:1
27.06.20	Osasuna - Leganés	2:1
17.08.19	Leganés - Osasuna	0:1
09.04.17	Osasuna - Leganés	2:1
21.11.16	Leganés - Osasuna	2:0
Spanish LaLiga2
14.02.16	Leganés - Osasuna	2:0
12.09.15	Osasuna - Leganés	2:1

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