Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 15

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday


	Leganés B		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.7
	2.57	3	2.85
	2.41	3	2.8
	2.54	2.89	2.96
	2.6	2.9	2.62
	2.4	3.13	2.81
	2.43	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.37)	2.99 ↓ (3.08)	2.79 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés B
36.9%

Draw
30.5%

Navalcarnero
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

30.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés B than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Leganés B - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Leganés B is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Navalcarnero is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Leganés B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Leganés B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leganés B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.12.22	Unión Adarve - Leganés B	3:3 ✺
03.12.22	Leganés B - Alcorcón B	1:0 ✺
26.11.22	CD Guadalajara - Leganés B	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Leganés B - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Socuéllamos - Leganés B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLLL
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.12.22	Alcorcón B - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
04.12.22	Navalcarnero - Cerdanyola del Vallès	4:0 ✺
27.11.22	Montijo - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Navalcarnero - Coria	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Navalcarnero - UD Logroñés	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.04.22	Leganés B - Navalcarnero	0:4
05.12.21	Navalcarnero - Leganés B	0:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.02.20	Leganés B - Navalcarnero	2:0
29.09.19	Navalcarnero - Leganés B	2:0

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