Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 21

Date: 20 December 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max


	Leganés		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.8	3.8	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3.7
	2.25	2.8	3.75	Watch
	2.24	3.05	4.01
	2.31	2.78	4.24
	2.15	2.75	3.7
	2.2	2.86	3.88	Watch
	2.15	2.75	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.82)	2.81 ↓ (3.28)	3.9 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
42.4%

Draw
33.5%

Tenerife
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

28%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

28.9%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leganés's form might have worsened.

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leganés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.3%	33.3%	7.4%

Leganés - Tenerife Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Tenerife will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Alcoado D. J. C. (G) 2. Nyom A. 3. Saenz J. 6. Gonzalez S. (C) 15. Franquesa E. 17. Neyou Y. 23. Djouahra N. 32. Cisse S. 20. Undabarrena I. 27. Garcia N. 19. Garcia D.	1. Soriano J. (G) 2. Bunuel A. 6. Jose Amo 31. Williams L. 24. Nacho 14. Lopez R. 16. Sanz A. (C) 15. Bodiger Y. 3. Medrano F. 21. Teto A. 9. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
4. Abzi D. 33. Aguilar Lopez G. 36. Alvin (G) 22. Arambarri A. 24. Chicco J. 1. Jimenez D. (G) 5. Josema 29. Osazuwa S. 8. Perea L. 7. Portillo F. 11. Poveda D. 28. Urena O.	28. Alassan A. 32. Belza J. 35. Caropitche S. M. 10. Corredera A. 27. Cruz Luisimi 11. Dauda M. 7. Elady 5. Gonzalez S. 20. Hernandez P. 13. Nadal T. (G) 19. Romero Morillo A. 23. Sipcic N.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Garitano A.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leganés won 2.

Leganés is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tenerife is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leganés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Leganés will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Leganés won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Leganés won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
16.12.23	Sporting de Gijón - Leganés	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Leganés - Eldense	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Ferrol - Leganés	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
02.12.23	Zaragoza - Leganés	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Leganés - Ferrol	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTLLT
- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
17.12.23	Ferrol - Tenerife	3:1 ✺
11.12.23	Tenerife - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Tenerife	2:3 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
02.12.23	Eldense - Tenerife	0:3 ✺
26.11.23	Tenerife - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
29.04.23	Tenerife - Leganés	1:0
23.10.22	Leganés - Tenerife	2:1
06.02.22	Tenerife - Leganés	0:0
23.10.21	Leganés - Tenerife	1:2
21.02.21	Leganés - Tenerife	1:0
07.12.20	Tenerife - Leganés	0:0
13.03.16	Leganés - Tenerife	0:1

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