Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 16

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Ibercaja Stadium (Zaragoza)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Australia	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Zaragoza		Leganés

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.85	2.82	Watch
	2.68	2.88	2.82	Watch
	2.72	3.05	2.97
	2.84	3.19	2.55	Watch
	2.79	2.96	2.89	Watch
	2.66	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.84)	2.97 ↓ (3.19)	2.83 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
34.6%

Draw
31.8%

Leganés
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

29.6%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

30.7%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Zaragoza - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Leganés will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zaragoza: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 25%). Leganés (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Leganés (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 20%). Leganés (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andrada E. (G) 20. Aguirregabiria M. 4. Insua P. 16. Radovanovic A. 15. Pomares C. 10. Guti R. 6. Bare K. 14. Francho (C) 7. Soberon M. 21. Valery 19. Kodro K.	1. Soriano J. (C) 22. Figueredo S. 5. Miquel I. 2. Marvel 17. Garcia N. 10. Cruz J. 16. Melero G. 24. Diawara A. 14. Lopez R. 23. Millan A. 11. Duk
Substitutes
24. Akouokou P. 12. Bakis S. 36. Gomes A. 17. Moyano F. 8. Moya T. 31. Pinilla H. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 29. Sans P. 2. Sebastian J. 5. Tachi 3. Tasende D. 34. Terrer L.	21. Campos A. 9. de la Fuente M. 15. Franquesa E. 19. Garcia D. 38. Gueye D. 26. Guirao C. 27. Imigene S. 42. Lozano N. 18. Pauwels B. 20. Plano O. 3. Saenz J. 13. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Selles R.	Lopez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Duk ⚽, Melero G. (A),
28', Marvel 🟥,
32', Guti R. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Kodro K. ⚽, Francho (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Millan A. ↓, Imigene S. ↑,
58', Diawara A. 🟨,
59', Melero G. 🟨,
59', Bare K. 🟨,
63', Soberon M. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
63', Bare K. ↓, Moya T. ↑,
65', Miquel I. 🟨,
66', 2 - 1, Moya T. ⚽,
70', Cruz J. ↓, Guirao C. ↑,
70', Melero G. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Francho ⚽, Aguirregabiria M. (A),
78', Diawara A. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
79', Guti R. ↓, Tasende D. ↑,
79', Valery ↓, Terrer L. ↑,
79', Lopez R. ↓, Pauwels B. ↑,
81', Guirao C. 🟨,
84', Kodro K. ↓, Bakis S. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Garcia D. (Pen),
90+6', Duk 🟥,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Zaragoza: Bazdar S. (Inactive) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Cuenca M. A. (Inactive) Kosa S. (Injury) Saidu Y. (Red Card) Tachi (Inactive) de la Fuente P. (Inactive)

There will not play in Leganés: Pulido R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Zaragoza - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 33.29%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Leganés - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 37.07%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
22.11.25	Eibar - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Zaragoza - Huesca	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Granada - Zaragoza	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Zaragoza - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Mutilvera - Zaragoza	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLLW
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
22.11.25	Leganés - Almería	0:3 ✺
16.11.25	Ceuta - Leganés	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Real Sociedad B - Leganés	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Leganés - Burgos	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Azuaga - Leganés	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
27.04.24	Leganés - Zaragoza	1:1
02.12.23	Zaragoza - Leganés	1:0
12.03.23	Zaragoza - Leganés	3:0
19.12.22	Leganés - Zaragoza	2:1
11.02.22	Leganés - Zaragoza	2:1
22.11.21	Zaragoza - Leganés	0:2
30.05.21	Zaragoza - Leganés	0:5

Upcoming Matches