Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 30 June 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Club Friendly 🌤️ ...


	Legia Warsaw		Jablonec

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3.3	2.45
	1.92	3.7	3.35	Watch
	1.9	3.64	3.28
				Watch
	2.01	3.9	3.43	Watch
	1.92	3.7	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.5)	3.65 ↑ (3.4)	3.17 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
45.6%

Draw
25.3%

Jablonec
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

26.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

26.3%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.

Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jablonec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jablonec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Legia Warsaw - Jablonec Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Jablonec will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tobiasz K. (G) 8. Augustyniak R. 21. Bichakhchyan V. 22. Elitim J. 28. Gual M. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. (C) 67. Kapustka B. 25. Morishita R. 19. Vinagre R. 13. Wszolek P. 24. Ziolkowski J.	1. Hanus J. (G) 77. Alegue A. 6. Beran M. 18. Cedidla M. 7. Chanturishvili V. 19. Chramosta J. 44. Jawo L. 57. Novak F. 14. Soucek D. 10. Suchan J. 4. Tekijaski N.
Substitutes
9. Alfarela M. . Burch M. 11. Chodyna K. 5. Goncalves C. 3. Kapuadi S. 27. Kobylak G. (G) 23. Kun P. 6. Oyedele M. 12. Pankov R. 17. Shkurin I. 53. Urbanski W.	11. Fortelny J. 90. Innocenti N. 26. Karban K. 33. Kotlin A. (G) 17. Lavrincik S. 39. Makanjuola S. 22. Martinec J. 99. Mihelak K. (G) 12. Nykrin D. 9. Penxa L. 21. Polidar M. 24. Puskac D. 5. Stepanek D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Alegue A. 🟨,
40', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Chramosta J. ↓, Lavrincik S. ↑,
46', Soucek D. ↓, Martinec J. ↑,
55', Gual M. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
58', Jawo L. ↓, Fortelny J. ↑,
58', Alegue A. ↓, Puskac D. ↑,
62', Augustyniak R. ↓, Oyedele M. ↑,
62', Ziolkowski J. ↓, Pankov R. ↑,
62', Kapustka B. ↓, Goncalves C. ↑,
62', Vinagre R. ↓, Kun P. ↑,
62', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Shkurin I. ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location.

Recent performances by Legia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jablonec is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jablonec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
Club Friendly
25.06.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
21.06.25	Legia Warsaw - Wisła Płock	2:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.05.25	Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec	2:2 ✺
18.05.25	Cracovia - Legia Warsaw	3:1 ✺
15.05.25	Widzew Łódź - Legia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLTLW
- FK Jablonec
Club Friendly
27.06.25	Jablonec - Botoșani	5:1 ✺
21.06.25	Mladá Boleslav - Jablonec	2:2 ✺
20.06.25	Jablonec - Chrudim	3:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
24.05.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Jablonec	4:1 ✺
18.05.25	Jablonec - Slavia Prague	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WTWLW

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